Division 1 · Feb 21, 2026 18:30
Burgan
PWR 35
Shamiya
PWR 35
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT
Burgan
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-3 (6%)2-2 (6%)1-3 (5%)1-2 (5%)3-3 (4%)3-2 (4%)
WRONG 2-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
78%
78%
Under 2.5
22%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 85%
Over 3.5
71%
71%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Shamiya
WLLLL
STABLE
Burgan
DLLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Shamiyavs
3.20
BurganGoal Probability
Shamiya
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Burgan
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)1-2 (6%)2-1 (6%)2-3 (6%)3-2 (5%)1-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 5.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 6.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Shamiya-1
Gap#6
Burgan
WR 17% 7 pts
WR 20% 14 pts
Shamiya
4.0%
| Feb 05 | Shamiya v Sporty | 1-2 |
| Jan 22 | Shamiya v Al Faha… | 0-4 |
| Jan 15 | Shamiya v Al Ain | 2-1 |
| Dec 30 | Shamiya v Yarmouk | 1-7 |
| Dec 21 | Shamiya v Al Sula… | 1-6 |
| Nov 03 | Shamiya v Khaitan | 1-3 |
| Oct 26 | Shamiya v Burgan | 4-2 |
| Oct 20 | Shamiya v Sporty | 2-1 |
| Oct 04 | Shamiya v Al Faha… | 3-1 |
| Sep 29 | Shamiya v Al Ain | 3-0 |
Burgan
2.0%
| Feb 04 | Burgan v Khaitan | 1-1 |
| Jan 22 | Burgan v Yarmouk | 0-1 |
| Jan 16 | Burgan v Al Sula… | 3-1 |
| Jan 10 | Burgan v Al Kuwa… | 3-0 |
| Dec 31 | Burgan v Al Faha… | 2-1 |
| Dec 22 | Burgan v Al Ain | 3-3 |
| Nov 03 | Burgan v Sporty | 1-2 |
| Oct 26 | Burgan v Shamiya | 4-2 |
| Oct 20 | Burgan v Khaitan | 2-0 |
| Oct 04 | Burgan v Yarmouk | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 26, 2025 | Burgan | 4-2 | Shamiya |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Shamiya struggling (4L in last 5)
Burgan struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.