League Cup · Mar 05, 2026 16:00
IFK Mariehamn
PWR 34
FC Lahti
PWR 55
IFK Mariehamn
PWR 34
4 - 0
FT
FC Lahti
PWR 55
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: FC Lahti to win (55% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (17%)2-0 (16%)0-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)
WRONG 4-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS
No
No 35%
Over 3.5
44%
Team Comparison
28Attack60
53Defense55
Goals/G
0.81.7
Conc/G
1.31.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
IFK Mariehamn
DDDLW
STABLE
FC Lahti
DLWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Cup
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
IFK Mariehamnvs
0.54
FC LahtiGoal Probability
IFK Marieha…
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
FC Lahti
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 4.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
IFK Marieha…-3
Gap#6
FC Lahti
WR 20% 13 pts
WR 50% 17 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Mariehamn | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 13 |
| FC Lahti | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 17 |
IFK Mariehamn
10.0%
| Feb 28 | IFK Mar… v Sleipner | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | IFK Mar… v Turku PS | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | IFK Mar… v IF Gnis… | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | IFK Mar… v Inter T… | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | IFK Mar… v HJK Hel… | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | IFK Mar… v AC Oulu | 2-0 |
| Oct 04 | IFK Mar… v Kooteep… | 1-1 |
| Sep 28 | IFK Mar… v FF Jaro | 2-3 |
| Sep 21 | IFK Mar… v Vaasan … | 2-1 |
| Sep 13 | IFK Mar… v HamKam | 1-1 |
FC Lahti
12.0%
| Feb 22 | FC Lahti v IF Gnis… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | FC Lahti v Inter T… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | FC Lahti v Turku PS | 5-1 |
| Jan 24 | FC Lahti v HJK Hel… | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | FC Lahti v HamKam | 1-1 |
| Nov 14 | FC Lahti v PK-35 | 3-2 |
| Oct 18 | FC Lahti v Tukums | 3-3 |
| Oct 03 | FC Lahti v SJK Aka… | 3-0 |
| Jul 14 | FC Lahti v Tukums | 2-2 |
| May 21 | FC Lahti v Tukums | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 19, 2024 | FC Lahti | 2-1 | IFK Mariehamn |
| Aug 18, 2024 | IFK Mariehamn | 0-0 | FC Lahti |
| May 12, 2024 | FC Lahti | 3-0 | IFK Mariehamn |
| Feb 23, 2024 | FC Lahti | 1-1 | IFK Mariehamn |
| Oct 08, 2023 | IFK Mariehamn | 0-0 | FC Lahti |
| Jul 23, 2023 | FC Lahti | 0-2 | IFK Mariehamn |
| Apr 16, 2023 | IFK Mariehamn | 2-3 | FC Lahti |
| Feb 19, 2023 | IFK Mariehamn | 0-2 | FC Lahti |
| Sep 18, 2022 | IFK Mariehamn | 6-0 | FC Lahti |
| Aug 26, 2022 | FC Lahti | 0-2 | IFK Mariehamn |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
50%
Market
30%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.