Federation Cup · Jan 24, 2024 16:00
Malkiya
PWR 46
Budaiya
PWR 46
Malkiya
PWR 46
5 - 0
FT
Budaiya
PWR 46
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-0 (10%)1-2 (8%)0-2 (8%)
WRONG 5-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS
No 46%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
60Attack48
35Defense49
Goals/G
1.71.4
Conc/G
1.91.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Malkiya
LWDLL
STABLE
Budaiya
DWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Malkiyavs
1.25
BudaiyaGoal Probability
Malkiya
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Budaiya
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (26%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (16%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 2.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Malkiya+2
Gap#6
Budaiya
WR 43% 21 pts
WR 39% 19 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malkiya | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 21 |
| Budaiya | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 19 | 19 |
Malkiya
6.0%
| Jan 17 | Malkiya v Al Najma | 2-0 |
| Jan 13 | Malkiya v Sitra | 1-0 |
| Nov 18 | Malkiya v Al Riffa | 2-2 |
| Nov 03 | Malkiya v A'Ali | 0-2 |
| Nov 14 | Malkiya v Al Khal… | 0-4 |
| Sep 24 | Malkiya v Al Shab… | 6-0 |
| May 16 | Malkiya v Sitra | 1-0 |
| May 10 | Malkiya v Al-Hidd | 1-3 |
| May 06 | Malkiya v Budaiya | 3-2 |
| Dec 15 | Malkiya v Al Riffa | 3-0 |
Budaiya
6.0%
| Jan 18 | Budaiya v Al Riffa | 2-2 |
| Nov 18 | Budaiya v Sitra | 1-3 |
| May 08 | Budaiya v Al Riffa | 7-0 |
| May 04 | Budaiya v Al Khal… | 0-6 |
| Apr 25 | Budaiya v Sitra | 3-1 |
| Apr 15 | Budaiya v Al-Hidd | 0-1 |
| Apr 01 | Budaiya v Al Ahli | 2-1 |
| Mar 02 | Budaiya v Al Shab… | 3-0 |
| Jan 28 | Budaiya v Al-Hidd | 2-1 |
| Jan 22 | Budaiya v Sitra | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| May 06, 2022 | Budaiya | 3-2 | Malkiya |
| Apr 09, 2021 | Malkiya | 0-0 | Budaiya |
| Jan 15, 2021 | Malkiya | 0-0 | Budaiya |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Malkiya struggling (3L in last 5)
Budaiya struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.