Copa de la Liga Profesional · Apr 30, 2024 23:00
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
PWR 52
Boca Juniors
PWR 56
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
PWR 52
1 - 1
FT
Boca Juniors
PWR 56
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Boca Juniors Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (22%)2-0 (18%)0-0 (14%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
No
No 25%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
40Attack54
68Defense67
Goals/G
1.21.5
Conc/G
0.90.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Estudiantes de…
WLLLW
STABLE
Boca Juniors
WLWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 1% = 35.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (24.7%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Estudiantes de…vs
0.37
Boca JuniorsGoal Probability
Estudiantes…
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
Boca Juniors
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (33%)0-1 (25%)1-0 (12%)0-2 (9%)1-1 (9%)1-2 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 31% | 70% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Estudiantes…-2
Gap#1
Boca Juniors
WR 46% 21 pts
WR 47% 29 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes d… | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 21 |
| Boca Juniors | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 29 |
Estudiantes de…
8.0%
| Apr 13 | Estudia… v Boca Ju… | 1-0 |
| Mar 29 | Estudia… v Defensa… | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | Estudia… v Sarmien… | 3-1 |
| Mar 06 | Estudia… v Platense | 1-2 |
| Feb 19 | Estudia… v Newell’… | 2-0 |
| Feb 09 | Estudia… v Tigre | 2-0 |
| Dec 14 | Estudia… v Defensa… | 1-0 |
| Nov 26 | Estudia… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Nov 23 | Estudia… v Boca Ju… | 2-3 |
| Nov 22 | Estudia… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
Boca Juniors
16.0%
| Apr 21 | Boca Ju… v River P… | 2-3 |
| Apr 13 | Boca Ju… v Estudia… | 1-0 |
| Apr 06 | Boca Ju… v Newell’… | 1-3 |
| Mar 30 | Boca Ju… v San Lor… | 2-1 |
| Mar 23 | Boca Ju… v Central… | 3-0 |
| Mar 11 | Boca Ju… v Racing … | 4-2 |
| Feb 25 | Boca Ju… v River P… | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Boca Ju… v Lanús | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Boca Ju… v Central… | 2-0 |
| Feb 05 | Boca Ju… v Tigre | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Apr 13, 2024 | Estudiantes d… | 1-0 | Boca Juniors |
| Nov 23, 2023 | Boca Juniors | 2-3 | Estudiantes d… |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Boca Juniors | 0-0 | Estudiantes d… |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Boca Juniors | 0-1 | Estudiantes d… |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Boca Juniors | 3-1 | Estudiantes d… |
| Mar 14, 2022 | Estudiantes d… | 0-1 | Boca Juniors |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Boca Juniors in strong form (4W in last 5)
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.