1. Deild · Sep 27, 2025 16:15
Keflavík
PWR 59
HK Kópavogur
PWR 69
Keflavík
PWR 59
4 - 0
FT
HK Kópavogur
PWR 69
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.2/g, Away concedes 1.8/g, expected 4.2 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
HK Kópavogur Win
Score
3-4
Confidence
37%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-3 (6%)2-3 (6%)1-2 (6%)2-2 (6%)3-3 (4%)3-2 (4%)
WRONG 4-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
77%
77%
Under 2.5
23%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 83%
Over 3.5
90%
90%
Team Comparison
79Attack100
48Defense39
Goals/G
2.32.9
Conc/G
1.51.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Keflavík
WLWWL
STABLE
HK Kópavogur
WWWWL
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMHOME_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (23.9%) - consider AH
Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Keflavíkvs
3.24
HK KópavogurGoal Probability
Keflavík
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
HK Kópavogur
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
CORRECT SCORES
3-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)3-3 (4%)4-3 (4%)5-2 (4%)2-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 90% | 11% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 6.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
League Position
#9
Keflavík-4
Gap#5
HK Kópavogur
WR 50% 13 pts
WR 67% 26 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keflavík | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 13 |
| HK Kópavogur | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 21 | 26 |
Keflavík
12.0%
| Sep 21 | Keflavík v Njardvik | 0-3 |
| Sep 17 | Keflavík v Njardvik | 1-2 |
| Sep 06 | Keflavík v Njardvik | 2-1 |
| Aug 23 | Keflavík v Völsung… | 7-2 |
| Aug 08 | Keflavík v HK Kópa… | 3-0 |
| Jun 18 | Keflavík v Stjarnan | 4-2 |
| May 30 | Keflavík v HK Kópa… | 0-3 |
| Feb 25 | Keflavík v Stjarnan | 1-4 |
| Sep 28 | Keflavík v Fram Re… | 3-1 |
| Sep 24 | Keflavík v HK Kópa… | 2-1 |
HK Kópavogur
16.0%
| Sep 21 | HK Kópa… v Throttu… | 2-3 |
| Sep 17 | HK Kópa… v Throttu… | 4-3 |
| Sep 13 | HK Kópa… v Völsung… | 0-4 |
| Sep 06 | HK Kópa… v Throttu… | 5-2 |
| Aug 29 | HK Kópa… v Fylkir | 0-2 |
| Aug 23 | HK Kópa… v Fjolnir | 1-5 |
| Aug 17 | HK Kópa… v Grindav… | 3-3 |
| Aug 08 | HK Kópa… v Keflavík | 3-0 |
| May 30 | HK Kópa… v Keflavík | 0-3 |
| Apr 18 | HK Kópa… v Vestri | 3-3 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Aug 08, 2025 | HK Kópavogur | 3-0 | Keflavík |
| May 30, 2025 | Keflavík | 0-3 | HK Kópavogur |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Keflavík | 2-1 | HK Kópavogur |
| Aug 09, 2023 | HK Kópavogur | 3-1 | Keflavík |
| May 14, 2023 | Keflavík | 0-2 | HK Kópavogur |
| Sep 15, 2021 | HK Kópavogur | 3-5 | Keflavík |
| Aug 29, 2021 | HK Kópavogur | 1-0 | Keflavík |
| Jun 16, 2021 | Keflavík | 2-0 | HK Kópavogur |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Keflavík in strong form (3W in last 5)
HK Kópavogur in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.