Copa Venezuela · Aug 27, 2025 20:00
Carabobo FC
PWR 79
Portuguesa FC
PWR 6
Carabobo FC
PWR 79
5 - 0
FT
Portuguesa FC
PWR 6
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 3.0/g, Away concedes 3.0/g, expected 3.5 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Carabobo FC Win
Score
5-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (17%)2-0 (17%)1-0 (11%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)0-0 (3%)
CORRECT 5-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
No
No 23%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
100Attack18
83Defense0
Goals/G
3.00.5
Conc/G
0.53.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Carabobo FC
WDLWD
STABLE
Portuguesa FC
WDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 5/9 draws (56%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.09
Carabobo FCvs
0.27
Portuguesa FCGoal Probability
Carabobo FC
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Portuguesa …
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (22%)0-0 (18%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 2.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Carabobo FC+8
Gap#14
Portuguesa …
WR 50% 4 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carabobo FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| Portuguesa FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Carabobo FC
12.0%
| Aug 23 | Carabob… v UCV | 4-1 |
| Aug 19 | Carabob… v Portugu… | 1-1 |
| Aug 16 | Carabob… v Monagas… | 2-0 |
| Aug 09 | Carabob… v Zamora | 1-0 |
| Aug 02 | Carabob… v Metropo… | 0-0 |
| Jul 24 | Carabob… v Yaracuy… | 1-2 |
| Jul 19 | Carabob… v Puerto … | 2-0 |
| Jul 11 | Carabob… v Portugu… | 0-0 |
| Jul 05 | Carabob… v Estudia… | 2-1 |
| Jun 07 | Carabob… v Metropo… | 2-2 |
Portuguesa FC
6.0%
| Aug 22 | Portugu… v Academi… | 3-1 |
| Aug 19 | Portugu… v Carabob… | 1-1 |
| Aug 16 | Portugu… v Caracas… | 2-0 |
| Aug 03 | Portugu… v UCV | 2-0 |
| Jul 25 | Portugu… v Monagas… | 0-1 |
| Jul 20 | Portugu… v Zamora | 1-0 |
| Jul 11 | Portugu… v Carabob… | 0-0 |
| Jul 05 | Portugu… v Yaracuy… | 1-2 |
| Jun 09 | Portugu… v Real Es… | 1-1 |
| May 31 | Portugu… v UCV | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Aug 19, 2025 | Portuguesa FC | 1-1 | Carabobo FC |
| Jul 11, 2025 | Portuguesa FC | 0-0 | Carabobo FC |
| Feb 02, 2025 | Carabobo FC | 0-0 | Portuguesa FC |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Carabobo FC | 1-0 | Portuguesa FC |
| May 27, 2024 | Portuguesa FC | 2-1 | Carabobo FC |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Carabobo FC | 2-1 | Portuguesa FC |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Portuguesa FC | 0-0 | Carabobo FC |
| Jun 30, 2023 | Portuguesa FC | 1-1 | Carabobo FC |
| May 12, 2023 | Carabobo FC | 1-0 | Portuguesa FC |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Portuguesa FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.