Super Cup · Aug 04, 2024 16:00
PSV Eindhoven
PWR 63
Feyenoord
PWR 29
PSV Eindhoven
PWR 63
4 - 4
FT
Feyenoord
PWR 29
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.3/g, Away concedes 2.5/g, expected 4.2 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
PSV Eindhoven Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-1 (5%)2-2 (5%)3-3 (4%)2-3 (3%)
WRONG 4-4
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
76%
76%
Under 2.5
24%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 83%
Over 3.5
75%
75%
Team Comparison
82Attack70
42Defense13
Goals/G
2.32.0
Conc/G
1.72.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
PSV Eindhoven
WWDDW
STABLE
Feyenoord
WWWWW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/7 draws (43%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.40
PSV Eindhovenvs
1.94
FeyenoordGoal Probability
PSV Eindhov…
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Feyenoord
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-1 (6%)3-1 (6%)4-2 (5%)2-3 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 5.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 6.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
PSV Eindhov…+1
Gap#2
Feyenoord
WR 67% 7 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| Feyenoord | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
16.0%
| May 19 | PSV Ein… v Waalwijk | 3-1 |
| May 19 | PSV Ein… v Waalwijk | 3-1 |
| May 12 | PSV Ein… v Fortuna… | 1-1 |
| May 12 | PSV Ein… v Fortuna… | 1-1 |
| May 10 | PSV Ein… v Den Bos… | 2-0 |
| May 05 | PSV Ein… v Sparta … | 4-2 |
| May 05 | PSV Ein… v Sparta … | 4-2 |
| May 03 | PSV Ein… v Helmond… | 2-0 |
| Apr 28 | PSV Ein… v Telstar | 1-1 |
| Apr 25 | PSV Ein… v Heerenv… | 0-8 |
Feyenoord
20.0%
| May 19 | Feyenoo… v Excelsi… | 4-0 |
| May 19 | Feyenoo… v Excelsi… | 4-0 |
| May 12 | Feyenoo… v NEC Nij… | 2-3 |
| May 12 | Feyenoo… v NEC Nij… | 2-3 |
| May 05 | Feyenoo… v PEC Zwo… | 5-0 |
| May 05 | Feyenoo… v PEC Zwo… | 5-0 |
| Apr 25 | Feyenoo… v GO Ahea… | 1-3 |
| Apr 25 | Feyenoo… v GO Ahea… | 1-3 |
| Apr 21 | Feyenoo… v NEC Nij… | 1-0 |
| Apr 14 | Feyenoo… v Fortuna… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Mar 03, 2024 | PSV Eindhoven | 2-2 | Feyenoord |
| Mar 03, 2024 | PSV Eindhoven | 2-2 | Feyenoord |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Feyenoord | 1-0 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Feyenoord | 1-2 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Feyenoord | 1-2 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Aug 04, 2023 | Feyenoord | 0-1 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Feb 05, 2023 | Feyenoord | 2-2 | PSV Eindhoven |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
PSV Eindhoven in strong form (3W in last 5)
Feyenoord in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.