Tocantinense · Mar 07, 2026 19:00
Tocantinópolis
PWR 59
Tocantinópolis
PWR 59
2 - 1
FT
Capital
PWR 47
PWR 47
67%
21%
12%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Tocantinópolis Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
77%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (18%)2-0 (17%)1-0 (11%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (3%)0-0 (3%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
82%
Home/Draw
1.28x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.36x
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
45Attack46
75Defense58
Goals/G
1.31.3
Conc/G
0.71.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Tocantinópolis
LWWWW
STABLE
Capital
LLLDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy77%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_DOMINANTPOINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.18
Tocantinópolisvs
0.20
CapitalGoal Probability
Tocantinópo…
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Capital
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (18%)1-0 (17%)3-0 (12%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Tocantinópo…+2
Gap#3
Capital
WR 56% 65 pts
WR 36% 43 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tocantinópolis | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 24 | 65 |
| Capital | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 41 | 37 | 43 |
Tocantinópolis
16.0%
| Mar 04 | Tocanti… v Tuna Lu… | 4-1 |
| Feb 21 | Tocanti… v Gurupi | 0-2 |
| Feb 15 | Tocanti… v Palmeir… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Tocanti… v Araguaí… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Tocanti… v Guarabi… | 2-0 |
| Jan 24 | Tocanti… v Bela Vi… | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Tocanti… v União C… | 0-0 |
| Mar 26 | Tocanti… v União C… | 0-0 |
| Mar 22 | Tocanti… v União C… | 1-0 |
| Mar 12 | Tocanti… v União C… | 3-0 |
Capital
2.0%
| Mar 02 | Capital v Remo | 3-1 |
| Feb 27 | Capital v São Jos… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Capital v Macapá | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Capital v Palmeir… | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Capital v Santos | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Capital v União C… | 3-2 |
| Feb 13 | Capital v Indepen… | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Capital v Gurupi | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Capital v Bela Vi… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Capital v Guarabi… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Feb 22, 2025 | Capital | 2-3 | Tocantinópolis |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Tocantinópolis | 1-0 | Capital |
| Mar 19, 2024 | Capital | 2-3 | Tocantinópolis |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Capital | 2-1 | Tocantinópolis |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Tocantinópolis | 1-0 | Capital |
| Apr 09, 2023 | Tocantinópolis | 4-3 | Capital |
| Apr 02, 2023 | Capital | 1-2 | Tocantinópolis |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Capital | 0-0 | Tocantinópolis |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Capital | 2-1 | Tocantinópolis |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
59%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Tocantinópolis in strong form (4W in last 5)
Capital struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.