Acreano · Mar 07, 2026 22:15
Santa Cruz RN
PWR 66
ADESG
PWR 35
Santa Cruz RN
PWR 66
3 - 2
FT
ADESG
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Santa Cruz RN Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (17%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)
CORRECT 3-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
No 38%
Over 3.5
30%
Team Comparison
75Attack0
65Defense100
Goals/G
2.10.0
Conc/G
1.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Santa Cruz RN
LDWLW
STABLE
ADESG
LLWDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Santa Cruz RNvs
0.62
ADESGGoal Probability
Santa Cruz …
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
ADESG
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (12%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Santa Cruz …-3
Gap#5
ADESG
WR 57% 13 pts
WR 27% 30 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz RN | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 13 |
| ADESG | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 30 |
Santa Cruz RN
10.0%
| Mar 04 | Santa C… v QFC | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Santa C… v QFC | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Santa C… v Rio Bra… | 0-3 |
| Feb 22 | Santa C… v Nautico… | 2-0 |
| Feb 12 | Santa C… v São Fra… | 5-0 |
| Feb 11 | Santa C… v Nautico… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Santa C… v Decisão | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Santa C… v América… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Santa C… v Galvez | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | Santa C… v Decisão | 1-2 |
ADESG
6.0%
| Mar 02 | ADESG v Indepen… | 0-2 |
| Feb 11 | ADESG v Rio Bra… | 0-2 |
| Feb 05 | ADESG v São Fra… | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | ADESG v Galvez | 1-1 |
| Jan 26 | ADESG v Vasco D… | 3-1 |
| Jan 17 | ADESG v Humaitá | 1-1 |
| Mar 21 | ADESG v Indepen… | 0-0 |
| Mar 16 | ADESG v Galvez | 3-2 |
| Mar 08 | ADESG v Vasco D… | 0-2 |
| Feb 23 | ADESG v São Fra… | 1-0 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
50%
Market
30%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
ADESG struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.