Back Stats
Copa de la Superliga · Dec 23, 2020 20:10

Defensa y Justicia
PWR 77
2 - 1
FT

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
PWR 23
48% 25% 28%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
LOW
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.0/g, Away concedes 2.0/g, expected 3.0 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Defensa y Justicia Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
70Attack35
65Defense30
Goals/G
2.01.0
Conc/G
1.02.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Defensa y Just… DLD
STABLE
Estudiantes de… LDLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/3 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Defensa y Just…
vs
0.85
Estudiantes de…
Goal Probability
Defensa y J…
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Estudiantes…
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (38%)1-0 (25%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (8%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 62% 38% -
1.5 25% 75% UNDER
2.5 7% 93% UNDER
3.5 2% 98% UNDER
4.5 0% 100% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#1
Defensa y J…
+1
Gap
#2
Estudiantes…
WR 100% 3 pts WR 0% 0 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Defensa y Jus…1100213
Estudiantes d…1001120
Defensa y Just… 6.7%
Dec 20 Defensa… v Lanús 1-1
Nov 29 Defensa… v Central… 2-3
Nov 10 Defensa… v Central… 2-2
Estudiantes de… 4.0%
Dec 12 Estudia… v Newell’… 1-0
Dec 11 Estudia… v Platense 1-1
Dec 07 Estudia… v Argenti… 1-0
Dec 05 Estudia… v CA Estu… 2-2
Nov 15 Estudia… v Argenti… 0-1
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.