Trofeo de Campeones de la Superliga · Dec 23, 2023 00:00
River Plate
PWR 44
Rosario Central
PWR 90
River Plate
PWR 44
0 - 2
FT
Rosario Central
PWR 90
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
River Plate Win
Score
2-3
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (21%)2-0 (19%)0-0 (12%)3-0 (11%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
WRONG 0-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
66%
BTTS
No
No 25%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
53Attack70
30Defense100
Goals/G
1.52.0
Conc/G
2.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
River Plate
DLLWD
STABLE
Rosario Central
DDWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/5 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
River Platevs
0.36
Rosario CentralGoal Probability
River Plate
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Rosario Cen…
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (30%)0-1 (20%)1-0 (16%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
River Plate-2
Gap#2
Rosario Cen…
WR 50% 3 pts
WR 100% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| River Plate | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Rosario Centr… | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
River Plate
8.0%
| Dec 10 | River P… v Rosario… | 0-0 |
| Nov 11 | River P… v Rosario… | 3-1 |
| Nov 04 | River P… v Huracan | 1-2 |
| Oct 29 | River P… v Gimnasi… | 1-2 |
| Sep 25 | River P… v Banfield | 1-1 |
| Sep 22 | River P… v Atlétic… | 1-0 |
| Sep 03 | River P… v Vélez S… | 2-0 |
| Aug 28 | River P… v Barraca… | 5-1 |
| Jul 24 | River P… v Rosario… | 3-3 |
| Jul 01 | River P… v Barraca… | 2-1 |
Rosario Central
16.0%
| Dec 10 | Rosario… v River P… | 0-0 |
| Dec 04 | Rosario… v Racing … | 2-2 |
| Nov 11 | Rosario… v River P… | 3-1 |
| Oct 29 | Rosario… v Argenti… | 3-1 |
| Sep 30 | Rosario… v Newell’… | 1-0 |
| Sep 23 | Rosario… v Gimnasi… | 2-1 |
| Sep 20 | Rosario… v Indepen… | 1-1 |
| Sep 03 | Rosario… v Tallere… | 2-0 |
| Jul 28 | Rosario… v Belgran… | 0-0 |
| Jul 24 | Rosario… v River P… | 3-3 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Dec 10, 2023 | River Plate | 0-0 | Rosario Centr… |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Rosario Centr… | 3-1 | River Plate |
| Jul 24, 2023 | Rosario Centr… | 3-3 | River Plate |
| Oct 16, 2022 | River Plate | 1-2 | Rosario Centr… |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Rosario Centr… | 2-2 | River Plate |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Rosario Central in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.