Premier League · Mar 04, 2026 19:30
Brighton & Hove Albion
PWR 36
Arsenal
PWR 21
Brighton & Hove Albion
PWR 36
0 - 1
FT
Arsenal
PWR 21
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Arsenal Win
Score
2-3
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (14%)1-0 (12%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)
CORRECT 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.47x
DC X2
81%
Away/Draw
1.29x
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
43Attack20
60Defense40
Goals/G
1.40.7
Conc/G
1.32.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Brighton & Hov…
DWLWD
STABLE
Arsenal
WLWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 40% at home = very high riskH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 65% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.2%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Brighton & Hov…vs
0.60
ArsenalGoal Probability
Brighton & …
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Arsenal
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)1-0 (10%)1-2 (8%)0-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Brighton & …-6
Gap#2
Arsenal
WR 34% 191 pts
WR 63% 285 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Ho… | 142 | 48 | 47 | 47 | 195 | 204 | 191 |
| Arsenal | 136 | 86 | 27 | 23 | 266 | 126 | 285 |
Brighton & Hov…
12.0%
| Mar 03 | Brighto… v Exeter … | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Brighto… v Notting… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Brighto… v Wycombe | 3-0 |
| Feb 24 | Brighto… v Stockpo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Brighto… v Bolton | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Brighto… v Brentfo… | 0-2 |
| Feb 17 | Brighto… v Rotherh… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Brighto… v Liverpo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 11 | Brighto… v Aston V… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Brighto… v Crystal… | 0-1 |
Arsenal
14.0%
| Mar 01 | Arsenal v Chelsea | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Arsenal v FC Gomel | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | Arsenal v Tottenh… | 1-4 |
| Feb 22 | Arsenal v Mandals… | 0-5 |
| Feb 18 | Arsenal v Wolverh… | 2-2 |
| Feb 17 | Arsenal v Moss | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Arsenal v Wigan | 4-0 |
| Feb 12 | Arsenal v Brentfo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Arsenal v Sunderl… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Arsenal v Kvik Ha… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 27, 2025 | Arsenal | 2-1 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Arsenal | 2-0 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Jan 04, 2025 | Brighton & Ho… | 1-1 | Arsenal |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Arsenal | 1-1 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Arsenal | 1-1 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Brighton & Ho… | 0-3 | Arsenal |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Brighton & Ho… | 0-3 | Arsenal |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Arsenal | 2-0 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Arsenal | 2-0 | Brighton & Ho… |
| May 14, 2023 | Arsenal | 0-3 | Brighton & Ho… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Arsenal in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.