Super Copa · Feb 01, 2026 23:00
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 63
Club Nacional
PWR 29
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 63
0 - 0
FT
Club Nacional
PWR 29
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Under 2.5
Goals · Low scoring expected: 1.4 total goals avg
80%
accuracy
1.7x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Peñarol Montevideo Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (35%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (17%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (6%)0-2 (4%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
9%
Under 2.5
91%
91%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
35Attack18
88Defense65
Goals/G
1.00.5
Conc/G
0.31.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Peñarol Montev…
DDWDD
STABLE
Club Nacional
WDDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Peñarol Montev…vs
0.48
Club NacionalGoal Probability
Peñarol Mon…
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Club Nacion…
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (26%)1-0 (23%)0-1 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 2.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Peñarol Mon…+1
Gap#2
Club Nacion…
WR 67% 7 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol Monte… | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| Club Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Peñarol Montev…
12.0%
| Jan 23 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 2-2 |
| Jan 22 | Peñarol… v Colo-Co… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Peñarol… v River P… | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Peñarol… v River P… | 0-0 |
| Jan 13 | Peñarol… v Albion … | 0-2 |
| Jan 13 | Peñarol… v Central… | 0-0 |
| Nov 30 | Peñarol… v Club Na… | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Peñarol… v Club Na… | 2-2 |
| Nov 16 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 1-2 |
Club Nacional
14.0%
| Jan 25 | Club Na… v Concepc… | 1-0 |
| Jan 22 | Club Na… v Progreso | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Club Na… v Cerro L… | 1-1 |
| Jan 14 | Club Na… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Nov 30 | Club Na… v Peñarol… | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Club Na… v Peñarol… | 2-2 |
| Nov 09 | Club Na… v Defenso… | 1-1 |
| Nov 01 | Club Na… v Cerrito | 0-0 |
| Oct 26 | Club Na… v Wandere… | 0-0 |
| Oct 18 | Club Na… v Miramar | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 30, 2025 | Club Nacional | 1-0 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-2 | Club Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Club Nacional | 3-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Aug 09, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 3-0 | Club Nacional |
| Jul 06, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 0-0 | Club Nacional |
| Feb 09, 2025 | Club Nacional | 1-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-1 | Club Nacional |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Club Nacional | 2-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Aug 04, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-1 | Club Nacional |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Club Nacional | 2-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.