DFB Pokal · Feb 04, 2026 19:45

Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
0 - 3
FT

VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
41% 26% 33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
VfB Stuttgart Win
Score
1-4
Confidence
55%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)0-2 (6%)
CORRECT 0-3
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.93x
DC X2 85%
Away/Draw
1.24x
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
Yes 60%
Over 3.5 60%
60%
Team Comparison
45Attack90
85Defense40
Goals/G
1.53.0
Conc/G
0.52.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Holstein Kiel LDWWD
STABLE
VfB Stuttgart WDWWL
STABLE
Key Players
Holstein Kiel
Ivan Nekić 1G
Jonas Meffert 1G
Phil Harres 1A
Steven Skrzybski 1G
Niklas Niehoff 1A
VfB Stuttgart
Deniz Undav 2G3A
Jamie Leweling 3G
Chris FĂĽhrich 1G1A
Maximilian Mitt… 1G
Josha Vagnoman 2A
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.9%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.62
VfB Stuttgart
Goal Probability
Holstein Ki…
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
VfB Stuttga…
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
1-3 (8%)1-2 (8%)0-3 (7%)0-2 (7%)1-4 (6%)0-4 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 98% 2% OVER
1.5 92% 8% OVER
2.5 78% 22% OVER
3.5 60% 41% -
4.5 40% 60% -
5.5 24% 76% UNDER
6.5 13% 87% UNDER
League Position
#18
Holstein Ki…
-16
Gap
#2
VfB Stuttga…
WR 29% 9 pts WR 79% 34 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Holstein Kiel72328119
VfB Stuttgart141112361434
Holstein Kiel 12.0%
Jan 31 Holstei… v SpVgg G… 1-2
Jan 23 Holstei… v Arminia… 2-2
Jan 18 Holstei… v SC Pade… 2-0
Dec 20 Holstei… v Dynamo … 2-1
Dec 13 Holstei… v FC Augs… 3-3
Dec 07 Holstei… v Eintrac… 1-1
Dec 03 Holstei… v Hamburg… 1-1
Nov 29 Holstei… v Hertha … 0-1
Nov 23 Holstei… v FC Kais… 4-1
Nov 13 Holstei… v Silkebo… 3-2
VfB Stuttgart 14.0%
Feb 01 VfB Stu… v SC Frei… 1-0
Feb 01 VfB Stu… v Anderna… 3-3
Jan 29 VfB Stu… v BSC You… 3-2
Jan 25 VfB Stu… v Borussi… 0-3
Jan 22 VfB Stu… v AS Roma 2-0
Jan 18 VfB Stu… v Union B… 1-1
Jan 13 VfB Stu… v Eintrac… 3-2
Jan 10 VfB Stu… v Bayer 0… 1-4
Jan 05 VfB Stu… v FC Luze… 3-2
Dec 21 VfB Stu… v Bayern … 2-2
Head-to-Head (4)
Mar 08, 2025 Holstein Kiel 2-2 VfB Stuttgart
Oct 26, 2024 VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Holstein Kiel
Oct 26, 2024 VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Holstein Kiel
May 24, 2020 Holstein Kiel 3-2 VfB Stuttgart
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
VfB Stuttgart in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.