Schweizer Pokal · Feb 04, 2026 18:15
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
PWR 71
FC Luzern
PWR 49
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
PWR 71
2 - 1
FT
FC Luzern
PWR 49
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)3-2 (5%)3-0 (5%)2-2 (5%)2-0 (5%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.67x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.63x
Over 2.5
73%
73%
Under 2.5
27%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 73%
Over 3.5
67%
67%
Team Comparison
63Attack49
72Defense58
Goals/G
1.81.4
Conc/G
0.81.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Stade Lausanne…
WLWWW
STABLE
FC Luzern
DDLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.23
Stade Lausanne…vs
1.44
FC LuzernGoal Probability
Stade Lausa…
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
FC Luzern
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)1-1 (5%)4-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 5.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 18% | 83% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Stade Lausa…+9
Gap#14
FC Luzern
WR 80% 13 pts
WR 40% 7 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Lausann… | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| FC Luzern | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
Stade Lausanne…
16.0%
| Jan 30 | Stade L… v FC Vaduz | 5-2 |
| Jan 24 | Stade L… v Rappers… | 1-0 |
| Dec 19 | Stade L… v Étoile … | 1-2 |
| Dec 13 | Stade L… v Yverdon… | 4-0 |
| Dec 10 | Stade L… v Neuchât… | 3-0 |
| Dec 06 | Stade L… v Rappers… | 0-2 |
| Dec 02 | Stade L… v FC Wint… | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | Stade L… v FC WIL … | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Stade L… v FC Vaduz | 3-2 |
| Nov 01 | Stade L… v Stade N… | 3-3 |
FC Luzern
8.0%
| Feb 01 | FC Luze… v FC St. … | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | FC Luze… v FC Sion | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | FC Luze… v FC Luga… | 2-5 |
| Jan 10 | FC Luze… v SCR Alt… | 2-1 |
| Jan 05 | FC Luze… v VfB Stu… | 3-2 |
| Dec 21 | FC Luze… v Lausanne | 0-4 |
| Dec 17 | FC Luze… v FC Base… | 1-2 |
| Dec 14 | FC Luze… v BSC You… | 2-0 |
| Dec 06 | FC Luze… v FC Thun | 4-1 |
| Nov 29 | FC Luze… v FC Wint… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| May 21, 2024 | FC Luzern | 1-2 | Stade Lausann… |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Stade Lausann… | 2-1 | FC Luzern |
| Feb 01, 2024 | Stade Lausann… | 0-3 | FC Luzern |
| Jul 30, 2023 | FC Luzern | 2-1 | Stade Lausann… |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
50%
Market
41%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.