State Cup · Feb 05, 2026 18:30
Maccabi Haifa
PWR 58
Maccabi Tel Aviv
PWR 66
Maccabi Haifa
PWR 58
0 - 5
FT
Maccabi Tel Aviv
PWR 66
63%
21%
16%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
X2 (Away/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 69% away + 19% draw = 88% combined
92%
accuracy
1.19x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Maccabi Haifa Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
WRONG 0-5
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
3.4x
DC X2
88%
Away/Draw
1.19x
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 61%
Over 3.5
74%
74%
Team Comparison
60Attack77
52Defense56
Goals/G
1.72.2
Conc/G
1.41.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Maccabi Haifa
WWLWW
STABLE
Maccabi Tel Av…
LWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 1% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Maccabi Haifavs
1.15
Maccabi Tel Av…Goal Probability
Maccabi Hai…
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Maccabi Tel…
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)3-2 (6%)2-1 (6%)2-3 (5%)1-2 (5%)3-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 57% | 44% | - |
| 5.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 6.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Maccabi Hai…+1
Gap#2
Maccabi Tel…
WR 63% 46 pts
WR 63% 38 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Haifa | 24 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 46 |
| Maccabi Tel A… | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 38 |
Maccabi Haifa
16.0%
| Feb 03 | Maccabi… v Kafr Qa… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Maccabi… v Ironi T… | 3-2 |
| Jan 31 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 2-0 |
| Jan 24 | Maccabi… v Maccabi… | 4-1 |
| Jan 18 | Maccabi… v Maccabi… | 4-1 |
| Jan 17 | Maccabi… v Bnei Sa… | 2-1 |
| Jan 14 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 0-1 |
| Jan 13 | Maccabi… v Maccabi… | 0-2 |
| Jan 10 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 0-0 |
| Jan 09 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 1-1 |
Maccabi Tel Av…
4.0%
| Feb 04 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 0-3 |
| Feb 02 | Maccabi… v Ironi K… | 1-4 |
| Jan 31 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 0-2 |
| Jan 29 | Maccabi… v Bologna | 0-3 |
| Jan 26 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 0-1 |
| Jan 22 | Maccabi… v SC Frei… | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Maccabi… v Maccabi… | 4-1 |
| Jan 17 | Maccabi… v Ashdod | 0-0 |
| Jan 14 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 18, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa | 4-1 | Maccabi Tel A… |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Maccabi Haifa | 1-1 | Maccabi Tel A… |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Maccabi Tel A… | 0-4 | Maccabi Haifa |
| Nov 08, 2025 | Maccabi Haifa | 2-1 | Maccabi Tel A… |
| Oct 05, 2025 | Maccabi Tel A… | 1-1 | Maccabi Haifa |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Maccabi Tel A… | 4-0 | Maccabi Haifa |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Maccabi Haifa | 4-0 | Maccabi Tel A… |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Maccabi Haifa | 0-2 | Maccabi Tel A… |
| May 19, 2025 | Maccabi Haifa | 0-3 | Maccabi Tel A… |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Maccabi Tel A… | 1-1 | Maccabi Haifa |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Maccabi Haifa in strong form (4W in last 5)
Maccabi Tel Aviv struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.