State Cup · Feb 04, 2026 18:00
Maccabi Tel Aviv
PWR 66
Hapoel Beer Sheva
PWR 66
Maccabi Tel Aviv
PWR 66
0 - 3
FT
Hapoel Beer Sheva
PWR 66
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
X2 (Away/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 68% away + 19% draw = 87% combined
92%
accuracy
1.2x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Maccabi Tel Aviv Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (20%)0-2 (20%)0-3 (13%)0-0 (10%)1-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)
WRONG 0-3
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
3.31x
DC X2
88%
Away/Draw
1.2x
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
62%
BTTS
No
No 22%
Over 3.5
51%
Team Comparison
77Attack67
56Defense56
Goals/G
2.21.9
Conc/G
1.31.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Maccabi Tel Av…
WLLLW
STABLE
Hapoel Beer Sh…
WWLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Maccabi Tel Av…vs
1.98
Hapoel Beer Sh…Goal Probability
Maccabi Tel…
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Hapoel Beer…
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-3 (8%)0-2 (7%)1-1 (7%)0-3 (6%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 4.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Maccabi Tel…+1
Gap#3
Hapoel Beer…
WR 63% 38 pts
WR 75% 27 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Tel A… | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 38 |
| Hapoel Beer S… | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 27 |
Maccabi Tel Av…
8.0%
| Feb 02 | Maccabi… v Ironi K… | 1-4 |
| Jan 31 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 0-2 |
| Jan 29 | Maccabi… v Bologna | 0-3 |
| Jan 26 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 0-1 |
| Jan 22 | Maccabi… v SC Frei… | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Maccabi… v Maccabi… | 4-1 |
| Jan 17 | Maccabi… v Ashdod | 0-0 |
| Jan 14 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 1-1 |
| Jan 13 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 1-2 |
Hapoel Beer Sh…
14.0%
| Jan 31 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Hapoel … v Ironi K… | 3-2 |
| Jan 19 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 2-1 |
| Jan 13 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Hapoel … v Bnei Sa… | 0-5 |
| Dec 31 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 4-1 |
| Dec 20 | Hapoel … v Ironi T… | 3-0 |
| Dec 13 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 2-0 |
| Dec 12 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Tel A… | 0-2 | Hapoel Beer S… |
| Dec 07, 2025 | Hapoel Beer S… | 1-0 | Maccabi Tel A… |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Hapoel Beer S… | 1-0 | Maccabi Tel A… |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Maccabi Tel A… | 1-2 | Hapoel Beer S… |
| May 05, 2025 | Maccabi Tel A… | 1-1 | Hapoel Beer S… |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Hapoel Beer S… | 1-3 | Maccabi Tel A… |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Maccabi Tel A… | 1-0 | Hapoel Beer S… |
| Jan 01, 2025 | Hapoel Beer S… | 2-2 | Maccabi Tel A… |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Hapoel Beer S… | 1-1 | Maccabi Tel A… |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Maccabi Tel A… | 1-0 | Hapoel Beer S… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Hapoel Beer Sheva in strong form (3W in last 5)
Maccabi Tel Aviv struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.