Maranhense · Feb 11, 2026 22:30
Maranhão AC
PWR 35
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT
Sampaio Corrêa
PWR 56
PWR 56
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Maranhão AC Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)3-0 (15%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (6%)3-1 (6%)1-1 (4%)
WRONG 0-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
0Attack51
100Defense68
Goals/G
0.01.5
Conc/G
0.00.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Maranhão AC
WWLWW
STABLE
Sampaio Corrêa
LLWDD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.91
Maranhão ACvs
0.39
Sampaio CorrêaGoal Probability
Maranhão AC
0
5%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Sampaio Cor…
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 3.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Maranhão AC-1
Gap#1
Sampaio Cor…
WR 45% 61 pts
WR 48% 71 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maranhão AC | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 51 | 31 | 61 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | 40 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 58 | 37 | 71 |
Maranhão AC
16.0%
| Feb 07 | Maranhã… v Sampaio… | 0-3 |
| Feb 01 | Maranhã… v Flumine… | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | Maranhã… v IAPE | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Maranhã… v Imperat… | 0-1 |
| Jan 21 | Maranhã… v ITZ Spo… | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Maranhã… v Sampaio… | 4-2 |
| Jan 14 | Maranhã… v Tuntum | 3-1 |
| Jan 11 | Maranhã… v Moto Cl… | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | Maranhã… v Santa C… | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Maranhã… v Santa C… | 0-1 |
Sampaio Corrêa
8.0%
| Feb 08 | Sampaio… v Flamengo | 7-1 |
| Feb 07 | Sampaio… v Maranhã… | 0-3 |
| Feb 01 | Sampaio… v ITZ Spo… | 6-0 |
| Jan 30 | Sampaio… v Boavista | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Sampaio… v Tuntum | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Sampaio… v Maringá | 0-1 |
| Jan 25 | Sampaio… v Flumine… | 1-1 |
| Jan 22 | Sampaio… v Madurei… | 2-1 |
| Jan 21 | Sampaio… v Moto Cl… | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Sampaio… v Botafogo | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 07, 2026 | Sampaio Corrêa | 0-3 | Maranhão AC |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Sampaio Corrêa | 4-2 | Maranhão AC |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Sampaio Corrêa | 0-3 | Maranhão AC |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Maranhão AC | 1-0 | Sampaio Corrêa |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Maranhão AC | 0-1 | Sampaio Corrêa |
| May 29, 2024 | Sampaio Corrêa | 1-0 | Maranhão AC |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Sampaio Corrêa | 3-3 | Maranhão AC |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Sampaio Corrêa | 2-2 | Maranhão AC |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Maranhão AC | 3-0 | Sampaio Corrêa |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Sampaio Corrêa | 2-2 | Maranhão AC |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Maranhão AC in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.