Copa Costa Rica · Feb 04, 2026 02:00
LD Alajuelense
PWR 23
Municipal Liberia
PWR 56
LD Alajuelense
PWR 23
0 - 1
FT
Municipal Liberia
PWR 56
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Under 2.5
Goals · Low scoring expected: 1.2 total goals avg
80%
accuracy
1.7x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Municipal Liberia Win
Score
?
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)1-1 (1%)
CORRECT 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
80%
Home/Draw
1.31x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.1x
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
No
No 23%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
0Attack35
65Defense83
Goals/G
0.01.0
Conc/G
1.00.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
LD Alajuelense
WWLDD
STABLE
Municipal Libe…
LDLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
LD Alajuelensevs
0.26
Municipal Libe…Goal Probability
LD Alajuele…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Municipal L…
0
77%
1
20%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
LD Alajuele…-16
Gap#2
Municipal L…
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 50% 11 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LD Alajuelense | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Municipal Lib… | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
LD Alajuelense
12.0%
| Jan 28 | LD Alaj… v Guadalu… | 1-3 |
| Jan 25 | LD Alaj… v Inter S… | 1-0 |
| Jan 22 | LD Alaj… v CS Cart… | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | LD Alaj… v Perez Z… | 1-1 |
| Jan 16 | LD Alaj… v Municip… | 2-2 |
| Dec 21 | LD Alaj… v Deporti… | 3-1 |
| Dec 18 | LD Alaj… v Deporti… | 2-2 |
| Dec 14 | LD Alaj… v Municip… | 3-0 |
| Dec 11 | LD Alaj… v Municip… | 1-1 |
| Dec 07 | LD Alaj… v Inter S… | 0-2 |
Municipal Libe…
8.0%
| Feb 02 | Municip… v ADR Jic… | 0-2 |
| Jan 29 | Municip… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | Municip… v Inter S… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Municip… v CS Here… | 1-0 |
| Jan 23 | Municip… v Perez Z… | 1-1 |
| Jan 19 | Municip… v Guadalu… | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Municip… v Santa C… | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | Municip… v LD Alaj… | 2-2 |
| Dec 14 | Municip… v LD Alaj… | 3-0 |
| Dec 11 | Municip… v LD Alaj… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 16, 2026 | LD Alajuelense | 2-2 | Municipal Lib… |
| Dec 14, 2025 | LD Alajuelense | 3-0 | Municipal Lib… |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Municipal Lib… | 1-1 | LD Alajuelense |
| Nov 03, 2025 | Municipal Lib… | 1-4 | LD Alajuelense |
| Sep 14, 2025 | LD Alajuelense | 2-0 | Municipal Lib… |
| May 08, 2025 | LD Alajuelense | 2-0 | Municipal Lib… |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Municipal Lib… | 1-3 | LD Alajuelense |
| Oct 17, 2024 | LD Alajuelense | 2-2 | Municipal Lib… |
| Jul 25, 2024 | Municipal Lib… | 1-2 | LD Alajuelense |
| Mar 27, 2024 | Municipal Lib… | 0-4 | LD Alajuelense |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
55%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.