Ekstraklasa · Mar 08, 2026 16:30

Raków Częstochowa
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Pogoń Szczecin
PWR 35
35% 27% 38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Raków Częstochowa Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (31%)1-0 (30%)2-0 (14%)0-1 (6%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (5%)
CORRECT 2-0
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
12%
Under 2.5 88%
88%
BTTS No
No 12%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Raków Częstoch… LWDDL
STABLE
Pogoń Szczecin WWWDL
UP
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Similar PPG = 32.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (23.0%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Raków Częstoch…
vs
0.21
Pogoń Szczecin
Goal Probability
Raków Częst…
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Pogoń Szcze…
0
81%
1
17%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (23%)0-0 (19%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 81% 19% OVER
1.5 49% 51% -
2.5 23% 77% UNDER
3.5 8% 92% UNDER
4.5 3% 97% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#4
Raków Częst…
+8
Gap
#12
Pogoń Szcze…
WR 42% 37 pts WR 17% 31 pts
Raków Częstoch… 8.0%
Mar 01 Raków C… v Lech Po… 4-3
Feb 21 Raków C… v Nieciec… 1-0
Feb 14 Raków C… v Zaglebi… 0-0
Feb 08 Raków C… v Radomia… 0-0
Feb 01 Raków C… v Wisla P… 2-1
Jan 23 Raków C… v Vojvodi… 3-1
Jan 18 Raków C… v Partiza… 1-1
Jan 10 Raków C… v RB Salz… 1-1
Dec 18 Raków C… v Omonia … 0-1
Dec 14 Raków C… v Zaglebi… 0-1
Pogoń Szczecin 14.0%
Feb 28 Pogoń S… v Widzew … 1-0
Feb 21 Pogoń S… v Gornik … 0-1
Feb 15 Pogoń S… v Arka Gd… 1-0
Feb 08 Pogoń S… v Nieciec… 1-1
Feb 01 Pogoń S… v Motor L… 2-1
Jan 18 Pogoń S… v FK Jabl… 0-0
Dec 06 Pogoń S… v Radomia… 2-2
Dec 02 Pogoń S… v Widzew … 0-1
Nov 29 Pogoń S… v GKS Kat… 2-0
Nov 24 Pogoń S… v Zaglebi… 5-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Aug 31, 2025 Pogoń Szczecin 2-0 Raków Częstoc…
Apr 19, 2025 Pogoń Szczecin 1-0 Raków Częstoc…
Oct 20, 2024 Raków Częstoc… 1-0 Pogoń Szczecin
May 11, 2024 Raków Częstoc… 2-1 Pogoń Szczecin
Nov 12, 2023 Pogoń Szczecin 1-1 Raków Częstoc…
Mar 05, 2023 Pogoń Szczecin 0-2 Raków Częstoc…
Nov 09, 2022 Pogoń Szczecin 0-1 Raków Częstoc…
Aug 31, 2022 Raków Częstoc… 1-0 Pogoń Szczecin
Apr 20, 2022 Pogoń Szczecin 1-2 Raków Częstoc…
Nov 07, 2021 Raków Częstoc… 0-0 Pogoń Szczecin
Decision Breakdown
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Pogoń Szczecin in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.