Super League 1 · Mar 07, 2026 16:00
AEK Athens FC
PWR 35
Larisa
PWR 35
AEK Athens FC
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Larisa
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 77% home + 16% draw = 92% combined
97%
accuracy
1.14x
Final Verdict
Prediction
AEK Athens FC Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
77%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (15%)2-0 (12%)1-0 (6%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (2%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
92%
Home/Draw
1.14x
DC X2
Away/Draw
4.51x
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No
No 27%
Over 3.5
18%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
AEK Athens FC
DWDWD
STABLE
Larisa
LDDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy77%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMESODDS_CONFIRM_75
Full data available (Tier 1)Bookmaker consensus confirms HOME at 77%H2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.75
AEK Athens FCvs
0.32
LarisaGoal Probability
AEK Athens …
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Larisa
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (21%)2-0 (19%)3-0 (12%)0-0 (11%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 2.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 3.5 | 18% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
AEK Athens …+11
Gap#12
Larisa
WR 83% 56 pts
WR 17% 21 pts
AEK Athens FC
14.0%
| Mar 01 | AEK Ath… v Volos N… | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | AEK Ath… v Levadia… | 4-0 |
| Feb 15 | AEK Ath… v PAOK | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | AEK Ath… v Panserr… | 0-4 |
| Feb 01 | AEK Ath… v Olympia… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | AEK Ath… v Asteras… | 0-1 |
| Jan 18 | AEK Ath… v Panathi… | 4-0 |
| Jan 14 | AEK Ath… v OFI Cre… | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | AEK Ath… v Aris Th… | 1-1 |
| Dec 21 | AEK Ath… v OFI Cre… | 2-1 |
Larisa
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Larisa v OFI Cre… | 3-0 |
| Feb 22 | Larisa v PAOK | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Larisa v Panathi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Larisa v Panetol… | 1-4 |
| Jan 31 | Larisa v Volos N… | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Larisa v Panserr… | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Larisa v Aris Th… | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | Larisa v Kifisia | 1-1 |
| Dec 21 | Larisa v Atromit… | 0-0 |
| Dec 13 | Larisa v Levadia… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Sep 21, 2025 | Larisa | 1-1 | AEK Athens FC |
| May 19, 2024 | AEK Athens FC | 3-0 | Larisa |
| Feb 15, 2021 | Larisa | 2-4 | AEK Athens FC |
| Nov 22, 2020 | AEK Athens FC | 4-1 | Larisa |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
87%
Market
96%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.