Premier Division · Mar 07, 2026 19:45
Sligo Rovers
PWR 35
Drogheda United
PWR 35
Sligo Rovers
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Drogheda United
PWR 35
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (15%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)0-0 (8%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.71x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.57x
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sligo Rovers
LDLLW
STABLE
Drogheda United
LDWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Sligo Roversvs
0.67
Drogheda UnitedGoal Probability
Sligo Rovers
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Drogheda Un…
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 78% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Sligo Rovers-4
Gap#5
Drogheda Un…
WR 50% 4 pts
WR 33% 7 pts
Sligo Rovers
6.0%
| Feb 27 | Sligo R… v Galway … | 1-0 |
| Feb 20 | Sligo R… v Wexford | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Sligo R… v Bohemia… | 0-4 |
| Feb 06 | Sligo R… v Kerry FC | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Sligo R… v Finn Ha… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Sligo R… v Galway … | 6-0 |
| Jan 13 | Sligo R… v Finn Ha… | 1-0 |
| Jan 09 | Sligo R… v Kerry FC | 1-0 |
| Nov 01 | Sligo R… v Shamroc… | 1-2 |
| Oct 25 | Sligo R… v Cork Ci… | 1-1 |
Drogheda United
14.0%
| Feb 27 | Droghed… v Shelbou… | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | Droghed… v Dundalk | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Droghed… v Wexford | 2-0 |
| Feb 06 | Droghed… v Galway … | 0-1 |
| Jan 23 | Droghed… v Bray Wa… | 1-3 |
| Nov 01 | Droghed… v Bohemia… | 1-4 |
| Oct 24 | Droghed… v Galway … | 1-1 |
| Oct 17 | Droghed… v Cork Ci… | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Droghed… v Wexford | 2-0 |
| Sep 26 | Droghed… v Kerry FC | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 19, 2025 | Sligo Rovers | 1-1 | Drogheda Unit… |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Drogheda Unit… | 1-0 | Sligo Rovers |
| May 02, 2025 | Sligo Rovers | 2-2 | Drogheda Unit… |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Drogheda Unit… | 3-0 | Sligo Rovers |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Drogheda Unit… | 7-0 | Sligo Rovers |
| Jun 03, 2024 | Sligo Rovers | 2-1 | Drogheda Unit… |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Drogheda Unit… | 3-1 | Sligo Rovers |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Sligo Rovers | 3-1 | Drogheda Unit… |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Sligo Rovers | 0-0 | Drogheda Unit… |
| Jul 28, 2023 | Drogheda Unit… | 2-2 | Sligo Rovers |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
42%
Market
38%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Drogheda United in strong form (3W in last 5)
Sligo Rovers struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.