Premier Division · Mar 06, 2026 20:00
Shamrock Rovers
PWR 35
Shamrock Rovers
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Kerry FC
PWR 51
PWR 51
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (10%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.48x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.8x
Over 2.5
64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS
Yes 52%
Over 3.5
45%
Team Comparison
0Attack49
100Defense62
Goals/G
0.01.4
Conc/G
0.01.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Shamrock Rovers
LDWLW
STABLE
Kerry FC
DWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.90
Shamrock Roversvs
0.80
Kerry FCGoal Probability
Shamrock Ro…
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Kerry FC
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-0 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 55% | - |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Shamrock Ro…+3
Gap#4
Kerry FC
WR 51% 148 pts
WR 42% 103 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rove… | 82 | 42 | 22 | 18 | 126 | 74 | 148 |
| Kerry FC | 66 | 28 | 19 | 19 | 92 | 72 | 103 |
Shamrock Rovers
10.0%
| Feb 27 | Shamroc… v Bohemia… | 3-2 |
| Feb 23 | Shamroc… v Dundalk | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Shamroc… v St Patr… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Shamroc… v Kerry FC | 0-1 |
| Dec 18 | Shamroc… v Hamrun … | 3-1 |
| Dec 11 | Shamroc… v Breidab… | 3-1 |
| Nov 27 | Shamroc… v Shakhta… | 1-2 |
| Nov 06 | Shamroc… v AEK Ath… | 1-1 |
| Nov 01 | Shamroc… v Sligo R… | 1-2 |
| Oct 29 | Shamroc… v Galway … | 1-0 |
Kerry FC
6.0%
| Feb 27 | Kerry FC v Longfor… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Kerry FC v Wexford | 4-2 |
| Feb 20 | Kerry FC v Athlone… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Kerry FC v Bohemia… | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Kerry FC v UCD | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Kerry FC v Dundalk | 2-2 |
| Feb 06 | Kerry FC v Sligo R… | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | Kerry FC v Cork Ci… | 4-1 |
| Jan 31 | Kerry FC v Shamroc… | 0-1 |
| Jan 23 | Kerry FC v Polessya | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 31, 2026 | Shamrock Rove… | 0-1 | Kerry FC |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Kerry FC | 2-1 | Shamrock Rove… |
| Oct 05, 2025 | Shamrock Rove… | 6-1 | Kerry FC |
| Aug 03, 2025 | Shamrock Rove… | 2-0 | Kerry FC |
| May 23, 2025 | Kerry FC | 1-2 | Shamrock Rove… |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Shamrock Rove… | 0-0 | Kerry FC |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Kerry FC | 1-1 | Shamrock Rove… |
| May 20, 2024 | Shamrock Rove… | 1-0 | Kerry FC |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Kerry FC | 1-3 | Shamrock Rove… |
| Mar 04, 2024 | Shamrock Rove… | 2-2 | Kerry FC |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
47%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Kerry FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.