Back Stats
Primera DivisiĂłn · Mar 10, 2026 01:30

Alianza Lima
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT

FBC Melgar
PWR 35
53% 23% 24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Alianza Lima Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (10%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (3%)
CORRECT 3-1
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
DC 1X 85%
Home/Draw
1.24x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.66x
Over 2.5 65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
31%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Alianza Lima WWDDW
STABLE
FBC Melgar DLLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.72
Alianza Lima
vs
0.74
FBC Melgar
Goal Probability
Alianza Lima
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
FBC Melgar
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (12%)2-0 (11%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 94% 6% OVER
1.5 77% 23% OVER
2.5 53% 47% -
3.5 31% 69% UNDER
4.5 15% 85% UNDER
5.5 6% 94% UNDER
6.5 2% 98% UNDER
League Position
#1
Alianza Lima
+6
Gap
#7
FBC Melgar
WR 100% 16 pts WR 33% 9 pts
Alianza Lima 16.0%
Feb 28 Alianza… v UTC 0-1
Feb 21 Alianza… v Sport B… 1-0
Feb 15 Alianza… v Alianza… 0-0
Feb 12 Alianza… v 2 de Ma… 1-1
Feb 08 Alianza… v Comerci… 2-1
Feb 05 Alianza… v 2 de Ma… 1-0
Jan 30 Alianza… v Sport H… 1-2
Jan 24 Alianza… v Inter M… 3-0
Jan 19 Alianza… v Colo-Co… 2-3
Dec 07 Alianza… v Sportin… 3-3
FBC Melgar 10.0%
Mar 06 FBC Mel… v Ciencia… 1-1
Feb 27 FBC Mel… v Cultura… 1-2
Feb 21 FBC Mel… v FC Caja… 3-1
Feb 15 FBC Mel… v UCV Moq… 4-0
Feb 08 FBC Mel… v Sportin… 1-2
Jan 31 FBC Mel… v Ciencia… 2-0
Jan 25 FBC Mel… v Macará 2-1
Nov 01 FBC Mel… v Alianza… 2-2
Oct 26 FBC Mel… v Sport H… 2-0
Oct 20 FBC Mel… v Sport B… 1-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Nov 01, 2025 Alianza Lima 2-2 FBC Melgar
Jun 28, 2025 FBC Melgar 0-1 Alianza Lima
Sep 29, 2024 Alianza Lima 1-1 FBC Melgar
Apr 28, 2024 FBC Melgar 1-0 Alianza Lima
Sep 29, 2023 Alianza Lima 0-0 FBC Melgar
May 19, 2023 FBC Melgar 2-1 Alianza Lima
Nov 13, 2022 Alianza Lima 2-0 FBC Melgar
Nov 09, 2022 FBC Melgar 1-0 Alianza Lima
Sep 22, 2022 Alianza Lima 2-0 FBC Melgar
Mar 12, 2022 FBC Melgar 1-0 Alianza Lima
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
72%
Market
63%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Alianza Lima in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.