Premier League · Mar 03, 2026 19:45
Bala Town
PWR 35
Penybont
PWR 35
Bala Town
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Penybont
PWR 35
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Penybont Win
Score
1-3
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (22%)2-0 (16%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.33x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.23x
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
No
No 27%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Bala Town
WDLWW
STABLE
Penybont
LDLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 46% at home = very high riskH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (30.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Bala Townvs
0.44
PenybontGoal Probability
Bala Town
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Penybont
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (26%)0-0 (24%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)3-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 2.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Bala Town-7
Gap#3
Penybont
WR 18% 23 pts
WR 55% 38 pts
Bala Town
14.0%
| Feb 28 | Bala To… v The New… | 0-2 |
| Feb 27 | Bala To… v Llanell… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Bala To… v Briton … | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Bala To… v GAP Con… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Bala To… v Caernar… | 0-2 |
| Feb 13 | Bala To… v Haverfo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Bala To… v Colwyn … | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Bala To… v Cardiff… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Bala To… v Rhyl | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Bala To… v The New… | 1-0 |
Penybont
6.0%
| Feb 21 | Penybont v Colwyn … | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Penybont v GAP Con… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Penybont v The New… | 6-0 |
| Jan 24 | Penybont v Caernar… | 0-0 |
| Jan 13 | Penybont v Cardiff… | 1-1 |
| Jan 01 | Penybont v Llanell… | 0-1 |
| Dec 26 | Penybont v Briton … | 1-1 |
| Dec 13 | Penybont v Flint T… | 0-0 |
| Dec 09 | Penybont v Bala To… | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Penybont v Colwyn … | 5-4 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 09, 2025 | Penybont | 1-1 | Bala Town |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Penybont | 2-1 | Bala Town |
| Sep 06, 2025 | Bala Town | 0-0 | Penybont |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Bala Town | 2-3 | Penybont |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Bala Town | 3-2 | Penybont |
| Mar 08, 2025 | Penybont | 3-2 | Bala Town |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Bala Town | 1-2 | Penybont |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Penybont | 1-1 | Bala Town |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Bala Town | 3-2 | Penybont |
| Oct 04, 2024 | Penybont | 4-1 | Bala Town |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
36%
Market
57%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Bala Town in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.