Back Stats
Premier League · Mar 03, 2026 19:45

GAP Connah S Quay FC
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT

The New Saints
PWR 35
29% 28% 43%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
The New Saints Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
CORRECT 1-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.37x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.32x
Over 2.5 63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
Yes 62%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
GAP Connah S Q… LDDDD
STABLE
The New Saints LWWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (21.5%) - consider AHElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
GAP Connah S Q…
vs
1.18
The New Saints
Goal Probability
GAP Connah …
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
The New Sai…
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)0-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 95% 5% OVER
1.5 79% 21% OVER
2.5 56% 44% -
3.5 33% 67% UNDER
4.5 17% 83% UNDER
5.5 8% 93% UNDER
6.5 3% 97% UNDER
League Position
#2
GAP Connah …
-1
Gap
#1
The New Sai…
WR 64% 47 pts WR 73% 53 pts
GAP Connah S Q… 8.0%
Feb 21 GAP Con… v Bala To… 1-0
Feb 14 GAP Con… v Penybont 0-0
Feb 06 GAP Con… v Caernar… 1-1
Jan 24 GAP Con… v Colwyn … 2-2
Jan 13 GAP Con… v Caernar… 2-2
Jan 03 GAP Con… v Bala To… 3-1
Dec 31 GAP Con… v The New… 3-1
Dec 26 GAP Con… v Flint T… 0-2
Dec 21 GAP Con… v Briton … 4-2
Dec 05 GAP Con… v Colwyn … 2-1
The New Saints 16.0%
Feb 28 The New… v Bala To… 0-2
Feb 20 The New… v Caernar… 2-1
Feb 13 The New… v Colwyn … 0-2
Feb 07 The New… v Penybont 6-0
Jan 24 The New… v Bala To… 1-0
Jan 13 The New… v Colwyn … 1-0
Jan 06 The New… v Bala To… 2-1
Dec 31 The New… v GAP Con… 3-1
Dec 09 The New… v Briton … 0-2
Dec 06 The New… v Llandud… 2-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 31, 2025 GAP Connah S … 3-1 The New Saints
Sep 10, 2025 GAP Connah S … 1-3 The New Saints
Aug 22, 2025 The New Saints 3-0 GAP Connah S …
May 04, 2025 GAP Connah S … 2-1 The New Saints
Dec 31, 2024 The New Saints 2-1 GAP Connah S …
Oct 30, 2024 GAP Connah S … 1-2 The New Saints
Apr 28, 2024 GAP Connah S … 2-1 The New Saints
Apr 21, 2024 The New Saints 2-0 GAP Connah S …
Mar 08, 2024 GAP Connah S … 1-5 The New Saints
Dec 31, 2023 GAP Connah S … 0-4 The New Saints
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
48%
Market
35%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
The New Saints in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.