Bundesliga · Mar 08, 2026 16:30
Union Berlin
PWR 46
Werder Bremen
PWR 35
Union Berlin
PWR 46
1 - 4
FT
Werder Bremen
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Union Berlin Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (25%)2-0 (22%)0-0 (15%)3-0 (12%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)
WRONG 1-4
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
71%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
46%
Team Comparison
60Attack0
70Defense100
Goals/G
2.00.0
Conc/G
1.00.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Union Berlin
WWLWL
STABLE
Werder Bremen
WLLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 38% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateCombined DR 62% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Union Berlinvs
0.20
Werder BremenGoal Probability
Union Berlin
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Werder Brem…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)2-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)1-0 (6%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 68% | 33% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Union Berlin+2
Gap#13
Werder Brem…
WR 31% 28 pts
WR 15% 25 pts
Union Berlin
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Union B… v Oberneu… | 4-2 |
| Mar 01 | Union B… v Sebalds… | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Union B… v Borussi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Union B… v Bayer 0… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Union B… v Hamburg… | 3-2 |
| Feb 06 | Union B… v Eintrac… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Union B… v 1899 Ho… | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Union B… v Borussi… | 0-3 |
| Jan 18 | Union B… v VfB Stu… | 1-1 |
| Jan 15 | Union B… v FC Augs… | 1-1 |
Werder Bremen
6.0%
| Feb 28 | Werder … v FC Heid… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Werder … v FC St. … | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Werder … v FC Baye… | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Werder … v SC Frei… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Werder … v Borussi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Werder … v 1899 Ho… | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Werder … v Bayer 0… | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | Werder … v Eintrac… | 3-3 |
| Jan 13 | Werder … v Borussi… | 3-0 |
| Jan 04 | Werder … v FC St. … | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 24, 2025 | Werder Bremen | 1-0 | Union Berlin |
| May 03, 2025 | Union Berlin | 2-2 | Werder Bremen |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Werder Bremen | 4-1 | Union Berlin |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Werder Bremen | 4-1 | Union Berlin |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Union Berlin | 2-1 | Werder Bremen |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Union Berlin | 2-1 | Werder Bremen |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Werder Bremen | 2-0 | Union Berlin |
| May 27, 2023 | Union Berlin | 1-0 | Werder Bremen |
| Jan 25, 2023 | Werder Bremen | 1-2 | Union Berlin |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Union Berlin | 3-1 | Werder Bremen |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
58%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Union Berlin in strong form (3W in last 5)
Werder Bremen struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.