Bundesliga · Mar 07, 2026 14:30
SC Freiburg
PWR 34
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
PWR 42
SC Freiburg
PWR 34
3 - 3
FT
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
PWR 42
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (33%)1-0 (24%)0-1 (12%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (3%)
WRONG 3-3
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.74x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.55x
Over 2.5
10%
Under 2.5
90%
90%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
19%
Team Comparison
47Attack60
51Defense59
Goals/G
1.62.0
Conc/G
1.71.4
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
SC Freiburg
LWLWL
STABLE
Bayer 04 Lever…
WDDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
SC Freiburgvs
0.37
Bayer 04 Lever…Goal Probability
SC Freiburg
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Bayer 04 Le…
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (16%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-0 (10%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 81% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
SC Freiburg-2
Gap#6
Bayer 04 Le…
WR 58% 34 pts
WR 46% 44 pts
SC Freiburg
8.0%
| Mar 01 | SC Frei… v Eintrac… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | SC Frei… v Borussi… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | SC Frei… v 1899 Ho… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | SC Frei… v Werder … | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | SC Frei… v VfB Stu… | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | SC Frei… v Lille | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | SC Frei… v FC Koln | 2-1 |
| Jan 22 | SC Frei… v Maccabi… | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | SC Frei… v FC Augs… | 2-2 |
| Jan 14 | SC Frei… v RasenBa… | 2-0 |
Bayer 04 Lever…
12.0%
| Mar 04 | Bayer 0… v Hamburg… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Bayer 0… v FSV Mai… | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | Bayer 0… v Olympia… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Bayer 0… v Union B… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Bayer 0… v Olympia… | 0-2 |
| Feb 14 | Bayer 0… v FC St. … | 4-0 |
| Feb 07 | Bayer 0… v Borussi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 03 | Bayer 0… v FC St. … | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | Bayer 0… v Eintrac… | 1-3 |
| Jan 28 | Bayer 0… v Villarr… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 26, 2025 | Bayer 04 Leve… | 2-0 | SC Freiburg |
| May 04, 2025 | SC Freiburg | 2-2 | Bayer 04 Leve… |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Bayer 04 Leve… | 5-1 | SC Freiburg |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Bayer 04 Leve… | 5-1 | SC Freiburg |
| Mar 17, 2024 | SC Freiburg | 2-3 | Bayer 04 Leve… |
| Mar 17, 2024 | SC Freiburg | 2-3 | Bayer 04 Leve… |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Bayer 04 Leve… | 2-1 | SC Freiburg |
| Feb 26, 2023 | SC Freiburg | 1-1 | Bayer 04 Leve… |
| Sep 03, 2022 | Bayer 04 Leve… | 2-3 | SC Freiburg |
| May 14, 2022 | Bayer 04 Leve… | 2-1 | SC Freiburg |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
46%
Market
37%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
SC Freiburg struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.