Ligue 2 · Mar 07, 2026 19:00
St Etienne
PWR 61
PWR 61
2 - 0
FT
Red Star
PWR 44
PWR 44
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
St Etienne Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (20%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (6%)
CORRECT 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.34x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.26x
Over 2.5
22%
Under 2.5
78%
78%
BTTS
No
No 29%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
59Attack40
66Defense59
Goals/G
1.71.1
Conc/G
1.01.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
St Etienne
WWWWL
UP
Red Star
DLWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
St Etiennevs
0.65
Red StarGoal Probability
St Etienne
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Red Star
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (24%)0-0 (18%)2-0 (16%)1-1 (9%)0-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 2.5 | 25% | 76% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
St Etienne+2
Gap#13
Red Star
WR 57% 86 pts
WR 31% 64 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Etienne | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 78 | 45 | 86 |
| Red Star | 49 | 15 | 19 | 15 | 56 | 57 | 64 |
St Etienne
16.0%
| Feb 28 | St Etieā¦ v Pau FC | 0-3 |
| Feb 21 | St Etieā¦ v Laval | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | St Etieā¦ v Guingamp | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | St Etieā¦ v Montpelā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | St Etieā¦ v Boulogne | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | St Etieā¦ v Reims | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | St Etieā¦ v Clermont | 1-0 |
| Jan 03 | St Etieā¦ v Lens | 0-0 |
| Dec 21 | St Etieā¦ v Nice | 2-1 |
| Dec 13 | St Etieā¦ v Bastia | 2-2 |
Red Star
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Red Star v Lens | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | Red Star v Annecy | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Red Star v Annecy | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Red Star v Pau FC | 0-3 |
| Jan 30 | Red Star v Rodez | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Red Star v Boulogne | 2-2 |
| Jan 17 | Red Star v Grenoble | 0-3 |
| Jan 03 | Red Star v Estac Tā¦ | 1-0 |
| Dec 13 | Red Star v Reims | 0-0 |
| Dec 05 | Red Star v Bastia | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 01, 2025 | Red Star | 2-1 | St Etienne |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
63%
Standings
50%
Market
58%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
St Etienne in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.