3. Liga · Mar 08, 2026 18:30
FC Ingolstadt 04
PWR 49
Verl
PWR 70
FC Ingolstadt 04
PWR 49
1 - 2
FT
Verl
PWR 70
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC Ingolstadt 04 Win
Score
2-3
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
WRONG 1-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
No 49%
Over 3.5
47%
Team Comparison
100Attack100
40Defense100
Goals/G
4.05.0
Conc/G
2.00.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
FC Ingolstadt …
DLWWD
STABLE
Verl
LDLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskH2H: 4/9 draws (44%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 69% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (35.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
FC Ingolstadt …vs
0.78
VerlGoal Probability
FC Ingolsta…
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Verl
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (6%)3-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 4.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
FC Ingolsta…-7
Gap#5
Verl
WR 36% 37 pts
WR 40% 48 pts
FC Ingolstadt …
12.0%
| Mar 04 | FC Ingo… v MSV Dui… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | FC Ingo… v SV Wehen | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | FC Ingo… v Havelse | 3-2 |
| Feb 15 | FC Ingo… v Anderna… | 3-2 |
| Feb 15 | FC Ingo… v FC Schw… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | FC Ingo… v Warbeyen | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | FC Ingo… v Energie… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | FC Ingo… v Viktori… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | FC Ingo… v Hansa R… | 0-3 |
| Jan 24 | FC Ingo… v Stuttga… | 2-1 |
Verl
6.0%
| Mar 03 | Verl v Jahn Re… | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Verl v Energie… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Verl v Alemann… | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Verl v Hoffenh… | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | Verl v MSV Dui… | 4-2 |
| Feb 01 | Verl v Stuttga… | 4-0 |
| Jan 25 | Verl v SV Wehen | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Verl v Waldhof… | 5-2 |
| Dec 20 | Verl v TSV 186… | 0-2 |
| Dec 13 | Verl v Rot-Wei… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Oct 01, 2025 | Verl | 2-2 | FC Ingolstadt… |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Verl | 1-4 | FC Ingolstadt… |
| Oct 19, 2024 | FC Ingolstadt… | 1-1 | Verl |
| Mar 17, 2024 | FC Ingolstadt… | 0-1 | Verl |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Verl | 2-2 | FC Ingolstadt… |
| Apr 29, 2023 | FC Ingolstadt… | 3-1 | Verl |
| Nov 05, 2022 | Verl | 2-1 | FC Ingolstadt… |
| Mar 17, 2021 | Verl | 1-1 | FC Ingolstadt… |
| Oct 17, 2020 | FC Ingolstadt… | 2-1 | Verl |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
36%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Verl struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.