3. Liga · Mar 08, 2026 15:30

MSV Duisburg
PWR 14
4 - 2
FT

FC SaarbrĂĽcken
PWR 70
43% 25% 32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MSV Duisburg Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)3-0 (14%)1-0 (13%)2-1 (7%)3-1 (6%)1-1 (6%)
CORRECT 4-2
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.52x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.79x
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS No
No 33%
Over 3.5
41%
Team Comparison
0Attack100
40Defense100
Goals/G
0.015.0
Conc/G
2.00.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
MSV Duisburg DDWLW
STABLE
FC SaarbrĂĽcken WDDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 3/9 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 47% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50
MSV Duisburg
vs
0.45
FC SaarbrĂĽcken
Goal Probability
MSV Duisburg
0
8%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
FC Saarbrüc…
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 96% 4% OVER
1.5 84% 17% OVER
2.5 63% 37% -
3.5 41% 59% -
4.5 23% 77% UNDER
5.5 11% 89% UNDER
6.5 5% 95% UNDER
League Position
#3
MSV Duisburg
+13
Gap
#16
FC Saarbrüc…
WR 71% 51 pts WR 7% 32 pts
MSV Duisburg 12.0%
Mar 04 MSV Dui… v FC Ingo… 0-0
Mar 01 MSV Dui… v Havelse 1-1
Feb 21 MSV Dui… v FC Schw… 3-1
Feb 14 MSV Dui… v SV Wehen 6-1
Feb 08 MSV Dui… v Verl 4-2
Feb 01 MSV Dui… v SSV Ulm… 1-0
Jan 24 MSV Dui… v Jahn Re… 2-0
Jan 18 MSV Dui… v Stuttga… 0-4
Jan 09 MSV Dui… v Hannove… 2-0
Dec 21 MSV Dui… v FC Vikt… 0-0
FC SaarbrĂĽcken 14.0%
Mar 04 FC Saar… v SV Wehen 2-0
Mar 01 FC Saar… v FC Schw… 2-2
Feb 21 FC Saar… v SSV Ulm… 1-1
Feb 14 FC Saar… v Stuttga… 2-0
Feb 07 FC Saar… v Erzgebi… 0-0
Jan 31 FC Saar… v VfL Osn… 0-1
Jan 23 FC Saar… v FC Vikt… 2-0
Jan 17 FC Saar… v Energie… 1-1
Dec 20 FC Saar… v Hansa R… 1-1
Dec 13 FC Saar… v Hoffenh… 2-2
Head-to-Head (9)
Sep 30, 2025 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 0-0 MSV Duisburg
Mar 16, 2024 MSV Duisburg 2-0 FC SaarbrĂĽcken
Nov 29, 2023 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 0-0 MSV Duisburg
May 21, 2023 MSV Duisburg 2-2 FC SaarbrĂĽcken
Jan 14, 2023 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 2-3 MSV Duisburg
Jan 23, 2022 MSV Duisburg 3-4 FC SaarbrĂĽcken
Aug 14, 2021 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 2-0 MSV Duisburg
Mar 03, 2021 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 4-1 MSV Duisburg
Nov 04, 2020 MSV Duisburg 2-3 FC SaarbrĂĽcken
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
90%
Market
46%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.