2. Bundesliga · Mar 07, 2026 12:00

SV Darmstadt 98
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
59% 22% 19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
SV Darmstadt 98 Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
77%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (5%)1-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (2%)
CORRECT 2-0
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.41x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.07x
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS No
No 32%
Over 3.5 67%
67%
Team Comparison
30Attack45
70Defense85
Goals/G
1.01.5
Conc/G
1.00.5
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
SV Darmstadt 98 LWDWD
STABLE
Holstein Kiel DLLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 4/9 draws (44%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.10
SV Darmstadt 98
vs
0.40
Holstein Kiel
Goal Probability
SV Darmstad…
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Holstein Ki…
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)4-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)4-0 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 99% 1% OVER
1.5 94% 6% OVER
2.5 83% 17% OVER
3.5 67% 33% OVER
4.5 48% 52% -
5.5 31% 69% UNDER
6.5 18% 82% UNDER
League Position
#2
SV Darmstad…
+15
Gap
#17
Holstein Ki…
WR 77% 48 pts WR 15% 25 pts
SV Darmstadt 98 12.0%
Feb 27 SV Darm… v Dynamo … 3-1
Feb 21 SV Darm… v Fortuna… 2-1
Feb 14 SV Darm… v Eintrac… 2-2
Feb 07 SV Darm… v FC Kais… 4-0
Feb 01 SV Darm… v Hertha … 2-2
Jan 23 SV Darm… v FC Nurn… 2-0
Jan 18 SV Darm… v VfL Boc… 3-3
Jan 06 SV Darm… v SV Wehen 0-1
Dec 19 SV Darm… v SC Pade… 2-2
Dec 14 SV Darm… v Preusse… 1-0
Holstein Kiel 2.0%
Feb 28 Holstei… v SV Elve… 1-1
Feb 21 Holstei… v Karlsru… 3-1
Feb 15 Holstei… v FC Scha… 1-2
Feb 08 Holstei… v Hannove… 3-1
Feb 04 Holstei… v VfB Stu… 0-3
Jan 31 Holstei… v SpVgg G… 1-2
Jan 23 Holstei… v Arminia… 2-2
Jan 18 Holstei… v SC Pade… 2-0
Dec 20 Holstei… v Dynamo … 2-1
Dec 13 Holstei… v FC Augs… 3-3
Head-to-Head (9)
Oct 04, 2025 Holstein Kiel 1-1 SV Darmstadt …
Jan 06, 2024 SV Darmstadt … 1-2 Holstein Kiel
Apr 30, 2023 Holstein Kiel 0-3 SV Darmstadt …
Oct 21, 2022 SV Darmstadt … 1-1 Holstein Kiel
Apr 02, 2022 SV Darmstadt … 3-1 Holstein Kiel
Oct 23, 2021 Holstein Kiel 1-1 SV Darmstadt …
May 23, 2021 Holstein Kiel 2-3 SV Darmstadt …
Feb 02, 2021 Holstein Kiel 1-1 SV Darmstadt …
Jan 24, 2021 SV Darmstadt … 0-2 Holstein Kiel
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
93%
Market
54%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Holstein Kiel struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.