HNL · Mar 07, 2026 16:15
NK Lokomotiva
PWR 35
NK Varaždin
PWR 35
NK Lokomotiva
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
NK Varaždin
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
NK Lokomotiva Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (10%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (3%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.45x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.89x
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes 52%
Over 3.5
46%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
NK Lokomotiva
LWLWD
STABLE
NK Varaždin
LDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 31% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.81
NK Lokomotivavs
0.76
NK VaraždinGoal Probability
NK Lokomotiā¦
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
19%
NK Varaždin
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (12%)3-0 (11%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)4-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 68% | 33% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
NK Lokomotiā¦-2
Gap#5
NK Varaždin
WR 46% 30 pts
WR 31% 34 pts
NK Lokomotiva
10.0%
| Mar 01 | NK Lokoā¦ v HNK Rijā¦ | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | NK Lokoā¦ v NK Osijā¦ | 3-1 |
| Feb 13 | NK Lokoā¦ v NK Slavā¦ | 2-0 |
| Feb 06 | NK Lokoā¦ v HNK Gorā¦ | 3-0 |
| Jan 30 | NK Lokoā¦ v Istra 1ā¦ | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | NK Lokoā¦ v Vukovar | 2-1 |
| Jan 16 | NK Lokoā¦ v NK Slavā¦ | 2-4 |
| Dec 20 | NK Lokoā¦ v Dinamo ā¦ | 2-0 |
| Dec 13 | NK Lokoā¦ v HNK Hajā¦ | 1-3 |
| Dec 07 | NK Lokoā¦ v NK Varaā¦ | 4-2 |
NK Varaždin
2.0%
| Mar 06 | NK Varaā¦ v Kustosiā¦ | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | NK Varaā¦ v HNK Hajā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | NK Varaā¦ v Uskok Kā¦ | 1-3 |
| Feb 22 | NK Varaā¦ v Dinamo ā¦ | 0-4 |
| Feb 14 | NK Varaā¦ v HNK Rijā¦ | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | NK Varaā¦ v NK Osijā¦ | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | NK Varaā¦ v Celtic | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | NK Varaā¦ v Kustosiā¦ | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | NK Varaā¦ v NK Slavā¦ | 0-2 |
| Jan 26 | NK Varaā¦ v HNK Gorā¦ | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 07, 2025 | NK Varaždin | 4-2 | NK Lokomotiva |
| Oct 29, 2025 | NK Lokomotiva | 4-0 | NK Varaždin |
| Sep 20, 2025 | NK Lokomotiva | 1-0 | NK Varaždin |
| Apr 26, 2025 | NK Varaždin | 2-1 | NK Lokomotiva |
| Feb 21, 2025 | NK Lokomotiva | 1-0 | NK Varaždin |
| Jan 18, 2025 | NK Lokomotiva | 3-2 | NK Varaždin |
| Nov 23, 2024 | NK Varaždin | 1-1 | NK Lokomotiva |
| Sep 01, 2024 | NK Lokomotiva | 0-1 | NK Varaždin |
| Apr 13, 2024 | NK Varaždin | 0-2 | NK Lokomotiva |
| Feb 02, 2024 | NK Lokomotiva | 0-0 | NK Varaždin |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
NK Varaždin struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.