NB I · Mar 08, 2026 12:30
MTK Budapest
PWR 35
Diósgyőri VTK
PWR 35
MTK Budapest
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Diósgyőri VTK
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Diósgyőri VTK Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-3 (6%)2-2 (5%)1-3 (5%)3-3 (5%)1-2 (4%)3-2 (4%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.49x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.88x
Over 2.5
76%
76%
Under 2.5
24%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 89%
Over 3.5
69%
69%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
MTK Budapest
DLDLL
STABLE
Diósgyőri VTK
LDLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
MTK Budapestvs
3.55
Diósgyőri VTKGoal Probability
MTK Budapest
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Diósgyőri V…
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)1-2 (6%)2-3 (6%)2-1 (6%)1-3 (5%)1-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 5.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
MTK Budapest+1
Gap#11
Diósgyőri V…
WR 39% 27 pts
WR 15% 25 pts
MTK Budapest
4.0%
| Feb 27 | MTK Bud… v Debrece… | 2-2 |
| Feb 23 | MTK Bud… v Ferencv… | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | MTK Bud… v Puskás … | 2-2 |
| Feb 11 | MTK Bud… v Kecskem… | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | MTK Bud… v Nyíregy… | 4-2 |
| Jan 31 | MTK Bud… v Kazincb… | 1-3 |
| Jan 24 | MTK Bud… v Kisvárda | 2-3 |
| Dec 20 | MTK Bud… v Zalaege… | 1-1 |
| Dec 13 | MTK Bud… v Ujpest | 3-4 |
| Dec 06 | MTK Bud… v Paks | 3-1 |
Diósgyőri VTK
10.0%
| Mar 05 | Diósgyő… v Budapes… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Diósgyő… v Zalaege… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Diósgyő… v Ujpest | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Diósgyő… v Paks | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Diósgyő… v PAOK | 2-6 |
| Feb 07 | Diósgyő… v Gyori E… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Diósgyő… v Kisvárda | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Diósgyő… v Debrece… | 3-2 |
| Dec 19 | Diósgyő… v Ferencv… | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Diósgyő… v Puskás … | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 23, 2025 | Diósgyőri VTK | 4-0 | MTK Budapest |
| Aug 09, 2025 | MTK Budapest | 5-0 | Diósgyőri VTK |
| May 17, 2025 | Diósgyőri VTK | 2-1 | MTK Budapest |
| Feb 21, 2025 | MTK Budapest | 4-0 | Diósgyőri VTK |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Diósgyőri VTK | 0-2 | MTK Budapest |
| Apr 14, 2024 | MTK Budapest | 1-1 | Diósgyőri VTK |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Diósgyőri VTK | 3-3 | MTK Budapest |
| Sep 02, 2023 | MTK Budapest | 2-1 | Diósgyőri VTK |
| Mar 13, 2023 | MTK Budapest | 4-2 | Diósgyőri VTK |
| Sep 12, 2022 | Diósgyőri VTK | 3-0 | MTK Budapest |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
58%
Market
49%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
MTK Budapest struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.