Division Profesional - Apertura · Mar 09, 2026 23:30
Deportivo Recoleta
PWR 50
Sportivo Ameliano
PWR 39
Deportivo Recoleta
PWR 50
1 - 1
FT
Sportivo Ameliano
PWR 39
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Deportivo Recoleta to win (58% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (22%)0-0 (18%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (7%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.76x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.48x
Over 2.5
24%
Under 2.5
76%
76%
BTTS
No
No 27%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
46Attack32
65Defense58
Goals/G
1.30.9
Conc/G
1.01.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Deportivo Reco…
DLDWL
STABLE
Sportivo Ameli…
LLDWW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Deportivo Reco…vs
0.50
Sportivo Ameli…Goal Probability
Deportivo R…
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Sportivo Am…
0
61%
1
30%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (22%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 2.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Deportivo R…-1
Gap#9
Sportivo Am…
WR 39% 21 pts
WR 26% 40 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Rec… | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 21 |
| Sportivo Amel… | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 42 | 40 |
Deportivo Reco…
8.0%
| Mar 05 | Deporti… v Naciona… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Deporti… v Cerro P… | 2-0 |
| Feb 26 | Deporti… v Naciona… | 2-2 |
| Feb 20 | Deporti… v 2 de Ma… | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Deporti… v Sportiv… | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | Deporti… v Club Sp… | 0-3 |
| Feb 02 | Deporti… v Liberta… | 2-1 |
| Jan 29 | Deporti… v Rubio Ñu | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Deporti… v Sportiv… | 1-1 |
| Nov 27 | Deporti… v Naciona… | 0-0 |
Sportivo Ameli…
10.0%
| Feb 28 | Sportiv… v Olimpia | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Sportiv… v Cerro P… | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Sportiv… v Naciona… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Sportiv… v 2 de Ma… | 3-0 |
| Feb 06 | Sportiv… v Sportiv… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Sportiv… v Club Sp… | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | Sportiv… v Liberta… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Sportiv… v Rubio Ñu | 2-2 |
| Nov 26 | Sportiv… v Sportiv… | 0-0 |
| Nov 20 | Sportiv… v Naciona… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Sep 29, 2025 | Sportivo Amel… | 1-4 | Deportivo Rec… |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Deportivo Rec… | 3-1 | Sportivo Amel… |
| May 10, 2025 | Sportivo Amel… | 1-2 | Deportivo Rec… |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Deportivo Rec… | 1-1 | Sportivo Amel… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
70%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.