Liga Portugal 2 · Mar 09, 2026 18:00
Benfica B
PWR 35
Moreirense
PWR 45
Benfica B
PWR 35
3 - 0
FT
Moreirense
PWR 45
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Moreirense Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (22%)2-0 (19%)0-0 (12%)3-0 (12%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)
WRONG 3-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.44x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.9x
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
66%
BTTS
No
No 23%
Over 3.5
54%
Team Comparison
0Attack43
100Defense54
Goals/G
0.01.2
Conc/G
0.01.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Benfica B
DWLWD
STABLE
Moreirense
LDDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)WR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.5%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Benfica Bvs
0.32
MoreirenseGoal Probability
Benfica B
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Moreirense
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (15%)4-0 (13%)2-0 (13%)5-0 (9%)1-0 (7%)3-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
League Position
#19
Benfica B-18
Gap#1
Moreirense
WR 33% 33 pts
WR 36% 352 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica B | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 33 |
| Moreirense | 263 | 94 | 70 | 99 | 320 | 346 | 352 |
Benfica B
12.0%
| Mar 01 | Benfica… v Penafie… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Benfica… v Damaien… | 0-4 |
| Feb 21 | Benfica… v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Benfica… v Felguei… | 4-2 |
| Feb 09 | Benfica… v Portimo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Benfica… v Vitória… | 5-1 |
| Jan 29 | Benfica… v Lusitân… | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Benfica… v Racing … | 0-5 |
| Jan 24 | Benfica… v Leixões… | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Benfica… v Chaves | 1-0 |
Moreirense
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Moreire… v Moreire… | 0-3 |
| Mar 07 | Moreire… v Nacional | 1-1 |
| Mar 02 | Moreire… v Felguei… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Moreire… v Casa Pi… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Moreire… v Pacos F… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Moreire… v FC Port… | 0-3 |
| Feb 22 | Moreire… v Lusitân… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Moreire… v União d… | 2-4 |
| Feb 21 | Moreire… v Benfica… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Moreire… v Sportin… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Feb 21, 2026 | Moreirense | 1-0 | Benfica B |
| Dec 06, 2025 | Benfica B | 2-0 | Moreirense |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Moreirense | 0-2 | Benfica B |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Benfica B | 3-3 | Moreirense |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.