Liga 3 · Mar 08, 2026 15:00
Amarante
PWR 35
Trofense
PWR 35
Amarante
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Trofense
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Amarante to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (10%)0-1 (6%)3-1 (6%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.5x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.69x
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
Yes 54%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Amarante
WWLDD
STABLE
Trofense
DLLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Liga 3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Amarantevs
1.03
TrofenseGoal Probability
Amarante
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Trofense
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (22%)2-0 (16%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Amarante+2
Gap#4
Trofense
WR 44% 29 pts
WR 39% 28 pts
Amarante
12.0%
| Mar 01 | Amarante v CF Os B… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Amarante v Mafra | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Amarante v Varzim | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Amarante v Trofense | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Amarante v Paredes | 0-0 |
| Jan 11 | Amarante v SC Braga | 1-0 |
| Jan 04 | Amarante v São Joã… | 0-1 |
| Dec 21 | Amarante v Fafe | 3-2 |
| Dec 14 | Amarante v AD Marc… | 3-2 |
| Dec 06 | Amarante v Sanjoan… | 0-2 |
Trofense
6.0%
| Feb 27 | Trofense v Mafra | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Trofense v Varzim | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Trofense v União S… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Trofense v CF Os B… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Trofense v Amarante | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Trofense v AD Marc… | 0-1 |
| Jan 10 | Trofense v Sanjoan… | 2-4 |
| Jan 04 | Trofense v Guimara… | 0-1 |
| Dec 20 | Trofense v Varzim | 0-1 |
| Dec 14 | Trofense v Fafe | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Jan 25, 2026 | Amarante | 1-1 | Trofense |
| Nov 02, 2025 | Trofense | 0-1 | Amarante |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Trofense | 1-2 | Amarante |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Trofense | 1-0 | Amarante |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Amarante | 1-0 | Trofense |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
55%
Market
43%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.