La Liga · Mar 09, 2026 20:00

Espanyol
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Oviedo
PWR 25
41% 26% 33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Espanyol Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
50%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (8%)2-0 (7%)1-2 (7%)2-2 (6%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.34x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.12x
Over 2.5 61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
Yes 62%
Over 3.5
48%
Team Comparison
35Attack16
63Defense54
Goals/G
1.20.5
Conc/G
1.21.5
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Espanyol DLDLL
STABLE
Oviedo LLDLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (22.8%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Espanyol
vs
1.35
Oviedo
Goal Probability
Espanyol
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Oviedo
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (7%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (6%)1-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 97% 3% OVER
1.5 87% 13% OVER
2.5 70% 31% OVER
3.5 48% 52% -
4.5 29% 71% UNDER
5.5 16% 85% UNDER
6.5 7% 93% UNDER
League Position
#7
Espanyol
+13
Gap
#20
Oviedo
WR 43% 37 pts WR 7% 18 pts
Espanyol 4.0%
Mar 01 Espanyol v Elche 2-2
Feb 21 Espanyol v Atlétic… 4-2
Feb 14 Espanyol v Celta d… 2-2
Feb 09 Espanyol v Villarr… 4-1
Jan 30 Espanyol v Alavés 1-2
Jan 24 Espanyol v Valencia 3-2
Jan 16 Espanyol v Girona 0-2
Jan 11 Espanyol v Levante 1-1
Jan 03 Espanyol v FC Barc… 0-2
Dec 22 Espanyol v Athleti… 1-2
Oviedo 6.0%
Mar 04 Oviedo v Rayo Va… 3-0
Feb 28 Oviedo v Atlétic… 0-1
Feb 21 Oviedo v Real So… 3-3
Feb 15 Oviedo v Athleti… 1-2
Jan 31 Oviedo v Girona 1-0
Jan 25 Oviedo v FC Barc… 3-0
Jan 17 Oviedo v Osasuna 3-2
Jan 10 Oviedo v Real Be… 1-1
Jan 04 Oviedo v Alavés 1-1
Dec 20 Oviedo v Celta d… 0-0
Head-to-Head (7)
Oct 17, 2025 Oviedo 0-2 Espanyol
Jun 23, 2024 Espanyol 2-0 Oviedo
Jun 16, 2024 Oviedo 1-0 Espanyol
May 20, 2024 Espanyol 2-1 Oviedo
May 20, 2024 Espanyol 2-1 Oviedo
Dec 01, 2023 Oviedo 2-0 Espanyol
Dec 01, 2023 Oviedo 2-0 Espanyol
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
80%
Market
55%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Espanyol struggling (3L in last 5)
Oviedo struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.