Ligue 1 · Mar 08, 2026 16:15
Lille
PWR 37
Lorient
PWR 33
Lille
PWR 37
1 - 1
FT
Lorient
PWR 33
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Lille Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)0-2 (8%)1-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
51Attack41
55Defense54
Goals/G
1.71.4
Conc/G
1.51.6
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Lille
WWWLD
UP
Lorient
DDDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Similar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskCombined DR 62% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (30.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Lillevs
1.57
LorientGoal Probability
Lille
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
Lorient
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (27%)0-1 (20%)1-0 (15%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 2.5 | 15% | 86% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Lille+4
Gap#10
Lorient
WR 54% 41 pts
WR 15% 34 pts
Lille
14.0%
| Mar 01 | Lille v Nantes | 1-0 |
| Feb 26 | Lille v FK Crve… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Lille v Angers | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Lille v FK Crve… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Lille v Stade B… | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | Lille v Metz | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Lille v Olympiq… | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Lille v SC Frei… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Lille v Strasbo… | 1-4 |
| Jan 22 | Lille v Celta d… | 2-1 |
Lorient
10.0%
| Mar 04 | Lorient v Nice | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Lorient v Auxerre | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | Lorient v Nice | 3-3 |
| Feb 15 | Lorient v Angers | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Lorient v Stade B… | 2-0 |
| Feb 04 | Lorient v Paris FC | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Lorient v Nantes | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Lorient v Rennes … | 0-2 |
| Jan 16 | Lorient v Monaco | 1-3 |
| Jan 04 | Lorient v Metz | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Aug 30, 2025 | Lorient | 1-7 | Lille |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Lille | 3-0 | Lorient |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Lille | 3-0 | Lorient |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Lorient | 4-1 | Lille |
| Apr 02, 2023 | Lille | 3-1 | Lorient |
| Oct 02, 2022 | Lorient | 2-1 | Lille |
| Jan 19, 2022 | Lille | 3-1 | Lorient |
| Sep 10, 2021 | Lorient | 2-1 | Lille |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Lorient | 1-4 | Lille |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Lille | 4-0 | Lorient |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
46%
Standings
68%
Market
50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Lille in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.