Serie A · Mar 08, 2026 14:00
Fiorentina
PWR 44
Parma
PWR 28
Fiorentina
PWR 44
0 - 0
FT
Parma
PWR 28
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Fiorentina to win (56% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
56%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)2-0 (8%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
81%
Home/Draw
1.3x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.3x
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS
No 50%
Over 3.5
19%
Team Comparison
53Attack20
74Defense61
Goals/G
1.80.7
Conc/G
0.91.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Fiorentina
LLWWW
DOWN
Parma
DWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskH2H: 7/9 draws (78%) = VERY HIGH riskCombined DR 71% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Fiorentinavs
1.13
ParmaGoal Probability
Fiorentina
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Parma
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (10%)0-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 81% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Fiorentina-5
Gap#12
Parma
WR 21% 25 pts
WR 36% 34 pts
Fiorentina
12.0%
| Mar 02 | Fiorent… v Udinese | 3-0 |
| Feb 26 | Fiorent… v Jagiell… | 2-4 |
| Feb 23 | Fiorent… v Pisa | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Fiorent… v Jagiell… | 0-3 |
| Feb 14 | Fiorent… v Como | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Fiorent… v Torino | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Fiorent… v Napoli | 2-1 |
| Jan 27 | Fiorent… v Como | 1-3 |
| Jan 24 | Fiorent… v Cagliari | 1-2 |
| Jan 18 | Fiorent… v Bologna | 1-2 |
Parma
14.0%
| Feb 27 | Parma v Cagliari | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Parma v AC Milan | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Parma v Verona | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Parma v Bologna | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Parma v Juventus | 1-4 |
| Jan 25 | Parma v Atalanta | 4-0 |
| Jan 18 | Parma v Genoa | 0-0 |
| Jan 14 | Parma v Napoli | 0-0 |
| Jan 11 | Parma v Lecce | 1-2 |
| Jan 07 | Parma v Inter M… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Dec 27, 2025 | Parma | 1-0 | Fiorentina |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Fiorentina | 0-0 | Parma |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Parma | 1-1 | Fiorentina |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Parma | 1-1 | Fiorentina |
| Dec 06, 2023 | Fiorentina | 2-2 | Parma |
| Jul 20, 2023 | Fiorentina | 1-1 | Parma |
| Mar 07, 2021 | Fiorentina | 3-3 | Parma |
| Nov 07, 2020 | Parma | 0-0 | Fiorentina |
| Jul 05, 2020 | Parma | 1-2 | Fiorentina |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
40%
Market
58%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Fiorentina in strong form (3W in last 5)
Parma in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.