Serie A · Mar 09, 2026 19:45
Lazio
PWR 36
Sassuolo
PWR 34
Lazio
PWR 36
2 - 1
FT
Sassuolo
PWR 34
27%
29%
44%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Lazio Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-1 (9%)0-2 (8%)2-1 (6%)1-3 (6%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.45x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.84x
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
Yes 59%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
31Attack35
73Defense62
Goals/G
1.01.2
Conc/G
0.91.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Lazio
DLDLD
STABLE
Sassuolo
WWWLW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Laziovs
1.87
SassuoloGoal Probability
Lazio
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Sassuolo
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Lazio-1
Gap#9
Sassuolo
WR 43% 37 pts
WR 36% 38 pts
Lazio
6.0%
| Mar 04 | Lazio v Atalanta | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Lazio v Torino | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Lazio v Cagliari | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Lazio v Atalanta | 0-2 |
| Feb 11 | Lazio v Bologna | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Lazio v Juventus | 2-2 |
| Jan 30 | Lazio v Genoa | 3-2 |
| Jan 24 | Lazio v Lecce | 0-0 |
| Jan 19 | Lazio v Como | 0-3 |
| Jan 11 | Lazio v Verona | 0-1 |
Sassuolo
16.0%
| Mar 01 | Sassuolo v Atalanta | 2-1 |
| Feb 20 | Sassuolo v Verona | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Sassuolo v Udinese | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Sassuolo v Inter M… | 0-5 |
| Jan 31 | Sassuolo v Pisa | 1-3 |
| Jan 25 | Sassuolo v Cremone… | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Sassuolo v Napoli | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | Sassuolo v AS Roma | 2-0 |
| Jan 06 | Sassuolo v Juventus | 0-3 |
| Jan 03 | Sassuolo v Parma | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 14, 2025 | Sassuolo | 1-0 | Lazio |
| May 26, 2024 | Lazio | 1-1 | Sassuolo |
| May 26, 2024 | Lazio | 1-1 | Sassuolo |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Sassuolo | 0-2 | Lazio |
| May 03, 2023 | Lazio | 2-0 | Sassuolo |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Sassuolo | 0-2 | Lazio |
| Apr 02, 2022 | Lazio | 2-1 | Sassuolo |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Sassuolo | 2-1 | Lazio |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Lazio | 1-1 | Sassuolo |
| May 23, 2021 | Sassuolo | 2-0 | Lazio |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
41%
Standings
48%
Market
48%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sassuolo in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.