Serie B · Mar 08, 2026 16:15
Carrarese
PWR 35
Palermo
PWR 44
Carrarese
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Palermo
PWR 44
29%
28%
43%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Palermo Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)0-1 (7%)
CORRECT 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
22%
Team Comparison
42Attack45
56Defense81
Goals/G
1.41.5
Conc/G
1.50.6
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Carrarese
DDLLL
STABLE
Palermo
WLWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 40% at home = very high riskH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 43% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 83% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (35.5%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Carraresevs
0.84
PalermoGoal Probability
Carrarese
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Palermo
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (15%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-0 (9%)0-3 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Carrarese-8
Gap#4
Palermo
WR 33% 32 pts
WR 36% 57 pts
Carrarese
4.0%
| Mar 04 | Carrareā¦ v Catanzaā¦ | 3-3 |
| Mar 01 | Carrareā¦ v Mantova | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Carrareā¦ v Monza | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Carrareā¦ v Monza | 2-0 |
| Feb 10 | Carrareā¦ v Padova | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Carrareā¦ v Sudtirol | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Carrareā¦ v Venezia | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Carrareā¦ v Empoli | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Carrareā¦ v Avellino | 1-2 |
| Jan 10 | Carrareā¦ v Bari | 1-0 |
Palermo
14.0%
| Mar 04 | Palermo v Mantova | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Palermo v Pescara | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Palermo v Sudtirol | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Palermo v Virtus ā¦ | 3-0 |
| Feb 10 | Palermo v Sampdorā¦ | 3-3 |
| Feb 07 | Palermo v Empoli | 3-2 |
| Jan 30 | Palermo v Bari | 0-3 |
| Jan 24 | Palermo v Monza | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Palermo v Spezia | 1-0 |
| Jan 11 | Palermo v Mantova | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 29, 2025 | Palermo | 5-0 | Carrarese |
| May 13, 2025 | Palermo | 1-1 | Carrarese |
| Dec 07, 2024 | Carrarese | 1-0 | Palermo |
| Dec 07, 2024 | Carrarese | 1-0 | Palermo |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
34%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Palermo in strong form (3W in last 5)
Carrarese struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.