Serie B · Mar 08, 2026 14:00

Catanzaro
PWR 36

Empoli
PWR 34

Catanzaro
PWR 36
3 - 2
FT

Empoli
PWR 34
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Catanzaro Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)3-0 (15%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (6%)3-1 (6%)1-1 (4%)
CORRECT 3-2
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.49x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.79x
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
58%
58%
Team Comparison
38Attack35
65Defense62
Goals/G
1.31.2
Conc/G
1.21.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Catanzaro
DDWWW
STABLE
Empoli
LDDDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 40% at home = very high riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.88
Catanzarovs
0.39
EmpoliGoal Probability
Catanzaro
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Empoli
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (9%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)4-0 (7%)4-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Catanzaro+8
Gap#13
Empoli
WR 53% 49 pts
WR 29% 31 pts
Catanzaro
16.0%
| Mar 04 | Catanza… v Carrare… | 3-3 |
| Mar 01 | Catanza… v Frosino… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Catanza… v Virtus … | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Catanza… v Mantova | 2-0 |
| Feb 10 | Catanza… v Pescara | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | Catanza… v Reggian… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Catanza… v Sudtirol | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Catanza… v Sampdor… | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Catanza… v Venezia | 3-1 |
| Jan 10 | Catanza… v Frosino… | 2-0 |
Empoli
6.0%
| Mar 04 | Empoli v Bari | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Empoli v Cosenza | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Empoli v Frosino… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Empoli v Reggian… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Empoli v Juve St… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Empoli v Palermo | 3-2 |
| Jan 31 | Empoli v Monza | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Empoli v Carrare… | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Empoli v Sudtirol | 0-1 |
| Jan 10 | Empoli v Cosenza | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 08, 2025 | Empoli | 1-0 | Catanzaro |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Empoli | 4-1 | Catanzaro |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
76%
Market
46%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Catanzaro in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.