Eredivisie · Mar 08, 2026 13:30

Fortuna Sittard
PWR 35

Telstar
PWR 35

Fortuna Sittard
PWR 35
1 - 4
FT

Telstar
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Telstar Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-1 (5%)2-2 (5%)3-0 (3%)3-3 (3%)
CORRECT 1-4
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.49x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.9x
Over 2.5
73%
73%
Under 2.5
27%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 82%
Over 3.5
76%
76%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Fortuna Sittard
WWLDL
STABLE
Telstar
LWLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
3.69
Fortuna Sittardvs
1.81
TelstarGoal Probability
Fortuna Sit…
0
3%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Telstar
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-3 (5%)2-1 (5%)1-2 (5%)3-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 97% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 5.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 6.5 | 27% | 74% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Fortuna Sit…+5
Gap#16
Telstar
WR 46% 32 pts
WR 23% 24 pts
Fortuna Sittard
10.0%
| Feb 28 | Fortuna… v NEC Nij… | 2-3 |
| Feb 20 | Fortuna… v Excelsi… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Fortuna… v Ajax | 4-1 |
| Feb 07 | Fortuna… v Sparta … | 2-2 |
| Feb 01 | Fortuna… v Heracles | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Fortuna… v Groning… | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Fortuna… v PSV Ein… | 1-2 |
| Jan 11 | Fortuna… v GO Ahea… | 2-2 |
| Dec 21 | Fortuna… v AZ Alkm… | 4-3 |
| Dec 17 | Fortuna… v Almere … | 2-3 |
Telstar
8.0%
| Mar 04 | Telstar v AZ Alkm… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Telstar v NAC Bre… | 3-0 |
| Feb 22 | Telstar v Feyenoo… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Telstar v FC Twen… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Telstar v GO Ahea… | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | Telstar v GO Ahea… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Telstar v PEC Zwo… | 4-1 |
| Jan 25 | Telstar v AZ Alkm… | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Telstar v Excelsi… | 2-2 |
| Jan 14 | Telstar v Almere … | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 14, 2025 | Telstar | 1-3 | Fortuna Sitta… |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.