Eredivisie · Mar 08, 2026 11:15

Sparta Rotterdam
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

PEC Zwolle
PWR 35
45% 25% 30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sparta Rotterdam Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)3-0 (13%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (6%)1-1 (6%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.35x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.32x
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
50%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sparta Rotterd… LLDDW
DOWN
PEC Zwolle DDLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 31% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 43% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 74% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.52
Sparta Rotterd…
vs
0.49
PEC Zwolle
Goal Probability
Sparta Rott…
0
8%
1
20%
2
26%
3
22%
4
14%
PEC Zwolle
0
61%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 98% 3% OVER
1.5 88% 12% OVER
2.5 71% 29% OVER
3.5 50% 50% -
4.5 31% 69% UNDER
5.5 17% 83% UNDER
6.5 8% 92% UNDER
League Position
#7
Sparta Rott…
+6
Gap
#13
PEC Zwolle
WR 39% 38 pts WR 7% 29 pts
Sparta Rotterd… 8.0%
Feb 28 Sparta … v Heerenv… 2-1
Feb 22 Sparta … v AZ Alkm… 3-1
Feb 17 Sparta … v NEC Nij… 1-1
Feb 07 Sparta … v Fortuna… 2-2
Jan 31 Sparta … v Groning… 2-0
Jan 25 Sparta … v Utrecht 0-1
Jan 18 Sparta … v Feyenoo… 3-4
Jan 15 Sparta … v FC Vole… 1-2
Jan 11 Sparta … v Heracles 2-0
Dec 21 Sparta … v FC Vole… 0-1
PEC Zwolle 8.0%
Mar 01 PEC Zwo… v Ajax 0-0
Feb 22 PEC Zwo… v Utrecht 1-1
Feb 15 PEC Zwo… v Heerenv… 4-2
Feb 07 PEC Zwo… v FC Vole… 1-2
Jan 31 PEC Zwo… v Telstar 4-1
Jan 24 PEC Zwo… v NEC Nij… 2-1
Jan 17 PEC Zwo… v AZ Alkm… 3-1
Jan 10 PEC Zwo… v FC Twen… 1-1
Dec 20 PEC Zwo… v Excelsi… 2-1
Dec 13 PEC Zwo… v Fortuna… 1-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Nov 08, 2025 PEC Zwolle 1-0 Sparta Rotter…
Mar 15, 2025 Sparta Rotter… 1-1 PEC Zwolle
Nov 30, 2024 PEC Zwolle 1-0 Sparta Rotter…
Nov 30, 2024 PEC Zwolle 1-0 Sparta Rotter…
Feb 04, 2024 Sparta Rotter… 0-2 PEC Zwolle
Feb 04, 2024 Sparta Rotter… 0-2 PEC Zwolle
Aug 12, 2023 PEC Zwolle 1-2 Sparta Rotter…
Jul 14, 2023 Sparta Rotter… 3-1 PEC Zwolle
May 11, 2022 Sparta Rotter… 2-0 PEC Zwolle
Sep 22, 2021 PEC Zwolle 1-1 Sparta Rotter…
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
68%
Market
59%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.