Primeira Liga · Mar 08, 2026 18:00
Benfica
PWR 35
FC Porto
PWR 35
Benfica
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT
FC Porto
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Benfica Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (11%)1-0 (5%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (2%)
WRONG 2-2
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No
No 28%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Benfica
WLWLW
STABLE
FC Porto
LWWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 38% at home = very high riskBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateElevated draw risk (22.6%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/0 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.93
Benficavs
0.34
FC PortoGoal Probability
Benfica
0
2%
1
8%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
FC Porto
0
71%
1
24%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Benfica-2
Gap#1
FC Porto
WR 62% 59 pts
WR 85% 66 pts
Benfica
12.0%
| Mar 02 | Benfica v GIL Vic… | 1-2 |
| Feb 25 | Benfica v Real Ma… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Benfica v AVS | 3-0 |
| Feb 17 | Benfica v Real Ma… | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Benfica v Santa C… | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Benfica v Alverca | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Benfica v Tondela | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Benfica v Real Ma… | 4-2 |
| Jan 25 | Benfica v Estrela… | 4-0 |
| Jan 21 | Benfica v Juventus | 2-0 |
FC Porto
12.0%
| Mar 03 | FC Porto v Sportin… | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | FC Porto v Arouca | 3-1 |
| Feb 22 | FC Porto v Rio Ave… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | FC Porto v Spartak… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | FC Porto v Nacional | 0-1 |
| Feb 09 | FC Porto v Sportin… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | FC Porto v Artsakh | 3-0 |
| Feb 02 | FC Porto v Casa Pi… | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | FC Porto v Rodina … | 0-1 |
| Jan 29 | FC Porto v Rangers… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 14, 2026 | FC Porto | 1-0 | Benfica |
| Oct 05, 2025 | FC Porto | 0-0 | Benfica |
| May 17, 2025 | FC Porto | 1-4 | Benfica |
| Apr 06, 2025 | FC Porto | 1-4 | Benfica |
| Jan 06, 2025 | Benfica | 2-1 | FC Porto |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Benfica | 4-1 | FC Porto |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Benfica | 4-1 | FC Porto |
| May 17, 2024 | Benfica | 5-2 | FC Porto |
| Mar 03, 2024 | FC Porto | 5-0 | Benfica |
| Mar 03, 2024 | FC Porto | 5-0 | Benfica |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5)
FC Porto in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.