Primeira Liga · Mar 08, 2026 20:30
Santa Clara
PWR 35
Guimaraes
PWR 35
Santa Clara
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT
Guimaraes
PWR 35
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Santa Clara Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)0-2 (8%)0-0 (8%)
CORRECT 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
37%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Santa Clara
DDLLL
STABLE
Guimaraes
WDWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Both teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (23.5%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/0 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Santa Claravs
1.47
GuimaraesGoal Probability
Santa Clara
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Guimaraes
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#16
Santa Clara-7
Gap#9
Guimaraes
WR 31% 22 pts
WR 25% 32 pts
Santa Clara
4.0%
| Mar 01 | Santa C… v Tondela | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Santa C… v Alverca | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Santa C… v Benfica | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Santa C… v Estrela… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Santa C… v Estoril | 2-4 |
| Jan 24 | Santa C… v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Santa C… v Famalic… | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Santa C… v Nacional | 3-3 |
| Jan 04 | Santa C… v FC Porto | 0-1 |
| Dec 21 | Santa C… v Arouca | 0-0 |
Guimaraes
12.0%
| Feb 28 | Guimara… v Varzim | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Guimara… v Alverca | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Guimara… v União S… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Guimara… v SC Braga | 3-2 |
| Feb 15 | Guimara… v CF Os B… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Guimara… v Estrela… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Guimara… v Arouca | 3-2 |
| Feb 06 | Guimara… v Academi… | 1-0 |
| Jan 30 | Guimara… v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Guimara… v Sanjoan… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 04, 2025 | Guimaraes | 2-1 | Santa Clara |
| Apr 05, 2025 | Guimaraes | 2-0 | Santa Clara |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Santa Clara | 1-0 | Guimaraes |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Santa Clara | 1-0 | Guimaraes |
| Mar 05, 2023 | Santa Clara | 1-3 | Guimaraes |
| Sep 09, 2022 | Guimaraes | 1-0 | Santa Clara |
| May 01, 2022 | Guimaraes | 1-1 | Santa Clara |
| Dec 17, 2021 | Santa Clara | 1-0 | Guimaraes |
| Apr 17, 2021 | Guimaraes | 1-0 | Santa Clara |
| Dec 21, 2020 | Santa Clara | 0-4 | Guimaraes |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
46%
Standings
36%
Market
50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Santa Clara struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.