Back Stats
Primera División - Clausura · Nov 16, 2025 21:00

Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 60
1 - 2
FT

Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 60
45% 25% 30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Peñarol Montevideo to win (61% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (14%)1-0 (13%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
WRONG 1-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS
No 43%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
53Attack53
71Defense71
Goals/G
1.51.5
Conc/G
0.80.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Peñarol Montev… WLWLW
STABLE
Peñarol Montev… WLWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Peñarol Montev…
vs
0.66
Peñarol Montev…
Goal Probability
Peñarol Mon…
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Peñarol Mon…
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (21%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 79% 21% OVER
1.5 46% 54% -
2.5 20% 80% UNDER
3.5 7% 93% UNDER
4.5 2% 98% UNDER
5.5 1% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#1
Peñarol Mon…
0
Gap
#1
Peñarol Mon…
WR 55% 159 pts WR 55% 159 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Peñarol Monte…8346211612569159
Peñarol Monte…8346211612569159
Peñarol Montev… 12.0%
Nov 09 Peñarol… v Atletic… 0-2
Nov 07 Peñarol… v Cerro L… 2-0
Nov 02 Peñarol… v Defenso… 2-1
Nov 01 Peñarol… v Juventus 0-1
Oct 26 Peñarol… v Progreso 3-1
Oct 25 Peñarol… v Cerrito 2-0
Oct 20 Peñarol… v Plaza C… 0-1
Oct 19 Peñarol… v Rangers… 3-0
Oct 16 Peñarol… v Defenso… 0-2
Oct 11 Peñarol… v Miramar 2-2
Peñarol Montev… 12.0%
Nov 09 Peñarol… v Atletic… 0-2
Nov 07 Peñarol… v Cerro L… 2-0
Nov 02 Peñarol… v Defenso… 2-1
Nov 01 Peñarol… v Juventus 0-1
Oct 26 Peñarol… v Progreso 3-1
Oct 25 Peñarol… v Cerrito 2-0
Oct 20 Peñarol… v Plaza C… 0-1
Oct 19 Peñarol… v Rangers… 3-0
Oct 16 Peñarol… v Defenso… 0-2
Oct 11 Peñarol… v Miramar 2-2
Head-to-Head (6)
Sep 13, 2025 Peñarol Monte… 2-2 Peñarol Monte…
Nov 09, 2024 Peñarol Monte… 2-0 Peñarol Monte…
Feb 12, 2024 Peñarol Monte… 3-1 Peñarol Monte…
Dec 16, 2023 Peñarol Monte… 0-1 Peñarol Monte…
Dec 13, 2023 Peñarol Monte… 2-0 Peñarol Monte…
Dec 09, 2023 Peñarol Monte… 0-1 Peñarol Monte…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (3W in last 5)
Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.