Super Cup · Jul 13, 2024 17:30
Zenit Saint Petersburg
PWR 76
Krasnodar
PWR 17
Zenit Saint Petersburg
PWR 76
4 - 2
FT
Krasnodar
PWR 17
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 4.0/g, Away concedes 2.5/g, expected 4.8 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Zenit Saint Petersburg Win
Score
6-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (29%)1-0 (24%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (4%)
CORRECT 4-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
13%
Under 2.5
87%
87%
BTTS
No
No 19%
Over 3.5
31%
Team Comparison
100Attack35
30Defense13
Goals/G
4.01.0
Conc/G
2.02.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Zenit Saint Pe…
WWWDL
UP
Krasnodar
WWWLL
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 2/5 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Zenit Saint Pe…vs
0.41
KrasnodarGoal Probability
Zenit Saint…
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Krasnodar
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (6%)0-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 3.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Zenit Saint…+2
Gap#3
Krasnodar
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit Saint P… | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Krasnodar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Zenit Saint Pe…
14.0%
| Jun 02 | Zenit S… v Baltika | 1-2 |
| May 25 | Zenit S… v FC Porto | 2-1 |
| May 19 | Zenit S… v Akhmat … | 1-5 |
| May 15 | Zenit S… v Spartak… | 0-0 |
| May 11 | Zenit S… v Spartak… | 0-1 |
| May 06 | Zenit S… v Fakel V… | 1-1 |
| May 02 | Zenit S… v Spartak… | 1-1 |
| Apr 28 | Zenit S… v Dinamo … | 1-0 |
| Apr 24 | Zenit S… v Rubin | 0-2 |
| Apr 21 | Zenit S… v Orenburg | 1-0 |
Krasnodar
12.0%
| Jul 06 | Krasnod… v FC Rost… | 3-2 |
| May 25 | Krasnod… v Dinamo … | 1-0 |
| May 18 | Krasnod… v PFC Soc… | 2-3 |
| May 11 | Krasnod… v Spartak… | 1-0 |
| May 04 | Krasnod… v Akhmat … | 0-1 |
| Apr 29 | Krasnod… v Krylya … | 0-0 |
| Apr 24 | Krasnod… v Bastia | 3-2 |
| Apr 13 | Krasnod… v Zenit S… | 1-2 |
| Mar 12 | Krasnod… v Khimki | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Krasnod… v FC Rost… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Apr 13, 2024 | Krasnodar | 1-2 | Zenit Saint P… |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Zenit Saint P… | 1-1 | Krasnodar |
| May 13, 2023 | Zenit Saint P… | 2-2 | Krasnodar |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Krasnodar | 0-1 | Zenit Saint P… |
| Apr 25, 2022 | Krasnodar | 1-3 | Zenit Saint P… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
65%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Zenit Saint Petersburg in strong form (3W in last 5)
Krasnodar in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.