Eerste Divisie · Mar 09, 2026 19:00
Jong AZ
PWR 35
Emmen
PWR 35
Jong AZ
PWR 35
2 - 3
FT
Emmen
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (6%)2-1 (5%)1-0 (3%)3-2 (3%)
WRONG 2-3
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
Yes 53%
Over 3.5
58%
58%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Jong AZ
LWLDD
STABLE
Emmen
WLDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Eerste Divisie
Expected Goals (xG)
4.28
Jong AZvs
0.78
EmmenGoal Probability
Jong AZ
0
1%
1
6%
2
13%
3
18%
4
19%
Emmen
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)3-0 (6%)1-1 (6%)4-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 4.5 | 39% | 62% | - |
| 5.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
Jong AZ-5
Gap#13
Emmen
WR 13% 30 pts
WR 27% 36 pts
Jong AZ
8.0%
| Mar 06 | Jong AZ v PSV Ein… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Jong AZ v Helmond… | 5-1 |
| Feb 27 | Jong AZ v Vitesse | 2-0 |
| Feb 23 | Jong AZ v Den Bos… | 2-2 |
| Feb 23 | Jong AZ v Emmen | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | Jong AZ v Dordrec… | 0-1 |
| Feb 16 | Jong AZ v Cambuur | 1-2 |
| Feb 13 | Jong AZ v FC OSS | 0-3 |
| Feb 09 | Jong AZ v Dordrec… | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | Jong AZ v De Graa… | 4-0 |
Emmen
6.0%
| Mar 02 | Emmen v Utrecht | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Emmen v Willem … | 0-3 |
| Feb 23 | Emmen v Jong AZ | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | Emmen v Jong PSV | 2-3 |
| Feb 13 | Emmen v Dordrec… | 1-0 |
| Jan 30 | Emmen v Den Bos… | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Emmen v FC OSS | 4-0 |
| Dec 20 | Emmen v Almere … | 4-2 |
| Dec 12 | Emmen v Helmond… | 4-1 |
| Dec 05 | Emmen v ADO Den… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 23, 2026 | Emmen | 0-0 | Jong AZ |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Emmen | 4-2 | Jong AZ |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Jong AZ | 0-1 | Emmen |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Emmen | 1-4 | Jong AZ |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Jong AZ | 0-2 | Emmen |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Jong AZ | 1-1 | Emmen |
| Nov 08, 2024 | Emmen | 4-2 | Jong AZ |
| Apr 08, 2024 | Jong AZ | 3-2 | Emmen |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Emmen | 4-2 | Jong AZ |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Emmen | 2-1 | Jong AZ |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Emmen struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.